Lance Maxwell
EF2
And now after looking at the 12z model runs, I can see why SPC has slightly condensed their hatched area. Winds at the mid levels are, well, poor at best, with only about 20 kts at 500mb forecasted, not to mention forecast soundings don't back the surface flow as much as the 00z runs had last night. So, I think my excitement level has been taken down a notch and my expectations aren't nearly as high as they were, but, if we get in the right spot, we could see 1 or 2. I still like the south end charlie play, just to the SE of the triple pt. Hopefully, some outflow boundaries from last night's convection can enhance the shear a bit, it would be a big help.