5/16/04 FCST: NE and surrounding vicinity

[Mike Hollingshead]

Liking the NE/SD border north of Ainsworth, maybe slightly east of there.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc0...hr_sfc_sreh.gif

Ruc has south end of convection in that area as well.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc1...hr_sfc_sreh.gif

Oh my...

 

[Tim Jones]

It's just after 11AM and I'm still sitting here at my place in Omaha. Concerned about the cloud cover. I hope it starts burning off in the next few hours.

Tim

 

[Bill Hark]

I also like the Ainsworth area for combination of shear and the precip area (based on 15Z RUC); however I am concerned about the winds becoming more veered. I would suggest more toward Bassett or O'Neill. Check out the surface RUC for 15Z.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/disp...&hours=hr06hr09

I am concerned about cloud cover and also being between the jet maxes on the 500mb level.

Interesting: Is that a mesolow forming in SE South Dakota per the RUC 00Z.

Bill Hark

 

[Larry J. Kosch]

Storms firing up in NE

We should be ready to start chasing!! I see no less than five storms firing up between Ainsworth and O'Neill in Northeast NE, moving to the NE. The NWS has not yet issued a watch box yet and we should be expecting a NOW thread to be started in following these storms. While the radar is showing a general line of showers streching from O'Neill SW into SW part of NE, these storms have fired up behind that line.

This is a good day for chasing!! 8)