Shane Adams
Latest RUC brings a decent h5 wave through around peak heating, improving the previously-modest h5 winds from the WRF solution. IMO this was the main problem regarding the development of isolated sups in the NC TX area today. If things pan out as is being currently forecast, seems like a decent shot at a sup anywhere from Austin through DFW along the I-35 corridor. CAPE max is misplaced slightly southwest of the shear max, but they overlap enough to fill in the gaps. This looks like yet another situation where the DFW area could be effected by a sleeper storm situation, ala April 3. Because I'm going to be working there today anyway, me and my gear will target Waxahachie, TX and see where things go from there. RUC paints initiation in the area just SE of DFW around 21Z, so could be an interesting day. A check of large scale precip parameters shows the main body further north and east of the main convection areas by 21Z, which could mean more isolated development in "clear air" as opposed to being buried in the mess we have currently. Who knows, all this morning stuff may serve to enhance boundaries instead of stabalize the environment....time will tell.
Last edited by a moderator:
