Good day all,
Full chase log summary on this day is now available, and is shown below...
This was a "mini chase expedition" responding to a potent severe weather setup in central Texas and points eastward from April 8 through April 11, 2008. The "go" or "no go" decision was made on April 6 and 7 when forecast models all agreed on lee cyclogenesis and a powerful front / dryline setup on April 9, with activity shifting east on April 10 (with April 9 being the best day). I was able to get an airline ticket from Fort Lauderdale, FL to Dallas, TX at a reasonable price along with a car rental for the same period (April 8 to April 11). Meanwhile, SPC (Storm Prediction Center) showed a moderate risk of severe storms 2-3 days out with April 9 being the "best" chance for chasing. On the evening of April 8, I arrived in Dallas after a stop-over in Houston, picked up the rental vehicle, and spent the night in Dallas near I-35 East. According to forecasting, as well as SPC's moderate-risk outlook, a tentative target stretching from Childress to San Angelo, Texas was agreed upon, so there was no rush getting into the target area.
On April 9, another forecast was done, and a warm-front was draped across Texas from WSW to ENE near the I-20 corridor. Meanwhile, a strong trough / shortwave was present over New Mexico, with diffluent and strong jet-stream winds expected to rotate into western Texas by afternoon. A strong instability axis (CAPE over 2500) and shear axis (helicity over 500) intersected an area close to Abilene, Texas. After speaking to Tony Laubach and Verne Carlson, in Amarillo, TX at the time, we also agreed that near Abilene was a great target area. At the Storm Prediction Center (SPC), a 15% hatched tornado area, 45% hatched hail, and 35% hatched wind outlook constituted a high-end moderate risk for the same region near Abilene about a 100 mile radius or so (a "hatched" outlook means the chance of strong tornadoes, hail over 2", and extreme winds over 65 knots within 25 miles of a point in the outlook area)! I left Dallas and headed north to Denton, Texas on I-35 with a westward track along highway 380 through Decatur. Headed south along highway 281 from Jacksboro and into Mineral Wells by lunch time. The final leg into Abilene was by highway 180, then highway 16, then westward on I-20.
I reached Abilene by about 2 PM CDT and obtained fuel plus a new power inverter at a truck-stop there. By this time, Tony and Verne met up with Tim Samaras at Sweetwater, about 25 minutes to the west on I-20. I left Abilene along highway 277 and stopped to make sure my equipment (radio, inverter, and laptop) was set up. The 55 degree drizzle and fog rapidly gave way to partly sunny skies and 80+ degrees just south of Abilene denoting passage / crossing of the warm-front boundary. At this time (3 PM or so) the SPC issued PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) tornado watch box # 178 valid until 8 PM CDT for the area in response to MD (Mesoscale Discussion # 607). A data check confirmed this area was ready to see convective initiation since the dryline boundary was still well to the west, a differential boundary between a stable and unstable (well-mixed) boundary layer to the west was present, both intersecting the warm front. Sure enough, a thunderstorm cell fired to the south of Sweetwater and west of Nolan near highway 277 and 126. This cell was encountered, and showed the start of some supercell characteristics, and allowed to pass to my east (while keeping an eye on it). This storm also contained small hail.
This developing shower / storm was to be the big storm, and the only best storm of the day! I met up with Verne Carlson, Tony Laubach, and Tim Samaras near I-20 and highway 70 and notified them about the developing storm. The well-defined frontal boundary was right along I-20, with the "fog bank" visible to the north, and partly cloudy skies to the south. My group and I watched the storms, including the cell that I saw initiate, along with a few other storms that seemed to weaken quickly. The original storm showed the best possibilities, and a tornado (TVS) was indicated by radar on it, so we grouped up and headed east on I-20 to catch it. We encountered the storm near Tye, TX along I-20, where a rotating wall cloud / funnels, intense RFD, and some small dusty "spinups" were noted. We headed north on highway 707 towards Hodges and Anson to encounter a large funnel and dust (quite possibly tornado #1). The storm appeared to rapidly wrap-up at this point, with very intense rotation, while evolving to an HP supercell and eventually weakening somewhat. Another weaker mesocyclone to the south appeared to "merge" with this cell. Large hail (golfball and larger) and frequent lightning was also encountered on highway 707.
We left this storm and planned on following it along I-20 as it started taking more of an ENE motion rather than NE as id did originally. We stopped for fuel near Baird and continued east on I-20 to Cisco, then to highway 6, then north on highway 183. The supercell now violently intensified, showing an incredible SCIT (Severe Cell ID and Tracking) of 198 knots gate-to-gate shear with a flying eagle and couplet on the Dyess AFB radar site. The storm motion also changed from ENE to ESE at this point. Its position was just southwest of Breckenridge, Texas and we were headed north on highway 183 towards it (by about 20 miles away at 5:30 pm CDT) after being slightly delayed by a freight train in Cisco. We encountered the SW side of Breckenridge, with an RFD shelf cloud in front and possible tornado to the NE of our position. This may have been Tornado #3, developing in the new mesocyclone of the storm to the east, while #2 was not visible but responsible for extensive damage in Breckenridge. A semi truck was blown over and lying across highway 183, and many power poles were snapped, along with trees down, and roofs torn off some buildings. The damage path appeared to be at least a half-mile wide, with opposing damage direction (such as snapped poles leaning opposite directions) on each side of the damage swath.
We passed into downtown Breckenridge and headed east on highway 180. More damage was encountered on the east side of town, with poles snapped, powerlines down, roofs torn off buildings, and structural damage. We stopped to document as well as help some locals move debris from the road, as well as making sure no one was hurt. Later analysis of the video taken of the damage near highway 67 and 180 clearly shows the rope tornado stage, to the NE, and most likely from tornado #2 that caused much of the damage in Breckenridge. After the supercell storm got east of Breckenridge, it underwent some drastic evolutions. The storm crossed the differential boundary and its inflow began ingesting the cooler stable air to the east. Inflow was very impressive east of the storm near highway 180 near Palo Pinto, with gusts over 60 MPH. The gate-to-gate shear relaxed significantly from 120 knots down to 50-60 knots and the storm went entirely HP, with a warm advection wing to its southeast. This storm was followed to Mineral Wells along highway 180 then north on 281. Impressive 60-80 MPH winds were noted south of the area of rotation with this storm. At this time, Tony Laubach and Verne Carlson broke off of the chase, as I continued north (with Tim Samaras) on 281 towards 380 to head back east.
Above: Rope state of the Breckenridge, TX tornado.
The supercell continued moving northeast, but never intensified again, instead, it just got weaker and weaker until it lost its identity northeast of Pilot Point / Denton, TX and well east of I-35. This was roughly at 9:30 PM. From initiation to weakening, the single supercell lasted more than 6 hours. Tim Samaras and his crew and myself spent the night in Denison, Texas with the next-days chase prospects in mind (possibly OK / AR). A potent squall line developed late at night (April 9-10) and moved through by 4 AM or so, with violent winds and frequent lightning. The rapid passage of this squall line was to determine the chase prospects for April 10, and a target of eastern Arkansas was sought by myself. Tim Samaras and his group decided not to chase, and needed to be back in Colorado by April 11.
More details can be seen at this link (below) ...
http://www.sky-chaser.com/mwcl2008.htm#APR8
Video for (and including) this chase can be seen at the link below as well ...
http://www.sky-chaser.com/m9vid2.htm