mrobinson
looks to be another active weather day. Discuss your forecasts here.
CURRENT...COLD FRONT HAS SNEAKED INTO THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY EARLY THIS MORNING. PERSISTENT SUPERCELL DEVELOPED ON BOUNDARY EAST OF THROCKMORTON COUNTY YESTERDAY EVENING. CELL FINALLY DISSIPATED AROUND 1 AM CDT. WRITING ON WALL. ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS NEAR THIS BOUNDARY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SPIN LIKE A TOP. PARENT UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DEWPOINTS IMPRESSIVE AT THIS HOUR...IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S AREAWIDE.
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TX AND EXTREME SOUTHERN OK...
FARTHER SOUTH...ENHANCED FRONTOGENETIC FORCING/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED FROM PORTIONS OF NWRN TX INTO SRN OK DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FCST TO sTRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MDT RISK AREA FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AND SHOULD RESULT IN NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS. STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER RH IS FCST TO ENHANCE TORNADO POTENTIAL NEAR DRYLINE/FRONTAL INTERSECTION ...AND PERHAPS EAST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM ABI AREA TO THE RED RIVER IN THE 21Z-00Z TIME FRAME.