4/13/07 NOW: TX/OK

[Jordan Hartley]

I noticed the warm front had slid north in nc Tx about an hour ago which would only help that sup in Haskell Co. It's lost the flying eagle look and now has taken on a more classic supercell look to it on radar. Rotation still strong with this storm... "It's a Monster" I wonder if that storm has produced a tornado yet, ive notice an rfd gust front sig on radar in the last 2 frames and the core of this storm has gained strength as well.

 

[Karen Politte]

I can tell you right now if I were within a seven-county radius of that storm I would have a real hard time ignoring it. We've all been there - we've all sat on the horizon of a great storm and for whatever reason *not* gone to look at it's pretty tornadoes. I've resolved not to do so again.

The thing is tornado warned, isolated (attm), and has a nice meso on velocity scans. It is certainly radar eye-candy, and it's the only show in town as of now. I'd be headed towards it if I were chasing - whether it was threatening to cross the front or not.

And then maybe I'd get suckered.

KL

 

[Tim Vasquez]

I know what you mean, especially since the ABI area isn't doing anything right now. Thankfully though it's still early in the afternoon (and we got that extra hour of heating thanks to daylight savings) . I see a few specks appearing on the last few frames east of Haskell - Stamford which might give us round #2.

Tim

 

[Terry Tyler]

thats the nicest radar structure ive noticed this year...hooks dont look much nicer than that...i bet its going to cause major damage to the south side of seymour...

 

[JP Santiago]

Indeed, impressive hook signature on the low altitude composite......looks like another one trying to shoot up in NW Jones County......

 

[Glen Romine]

I think anyone on this storm is prbably pretty miserable right now. The cell has tracked along a very unfavorable path for chasing - unless you are looney enough to be trying to stay with it on US 277 and likely without a windshield by now. Storm also soon approaching a river, making getting across and keeping up a challenge for sure. Roads get much better east of Seymor, so then the question becomes how much juice is left for this storm before running dry. Given the conditions at Graham have held nicely I think it might still have some life left in it to produce. Along the trailing gust front some other storms look to be trying to get going, but the speed with which winds began veering around ABI makes me wonder if storms won't need to be well east to avoid being undercut / veered out before maturing. Convergent boundaries evident over Albany might be far enough east if a storm can materialize there - putting the Graham area as perhaps the best place to wait and see right now.

Glen

 

[afischer]

Two golfball hail reports from NWSOUN with the tornado-warned storm. A mesonet ob immediately south of the storm looks VERY nice... ESE winds at 10kt with 73/66. Makes you think the warm front is trying to "cook" as it lifts slowly NWD.

 

[Terry Tyler]

looks like the rfd is finally catching up to it...

 

[Tim Vasquez]

I'm guessing we're not going to get many good reports on the Seymour storm as US 277 has remained almost entirely in the core area, with no view of the updraft. The track is horrible from a road network standpoint. Regardless I am impressed by this storm... it's still packing a bite.

(echoing Glen Romine's thoughts)

Tim

 

[Chris Wilburn]

May need to watch out for cells firing ahead of the main precipitation line. The returns for Jones and Stephens county may be worth keeping an eye on.

 

[Glen Romine]

Several new echoes appearing from ~ 8 north of Breckenridge to 9 southeast of Baird. These should be the main show within an hour.

 

[Jody Radzik]

There is a mighty hook echo 52 miles east of Guthrie, TX heading toward Wichita Falls.

 

[David Wolfson]

On the virtual road from Bowie to Jacksboro. Echos near Graham have legs.

 

[Chris Hayes]

PDS tornado watch about to be issued and an upgrade to high risk for southern Oklahoma and Northern Texas.

 

[George Tincher]

PDS tornado watch about to be issued and an upgrade to high risk for southern Oklahoma and Northern Texas.

I believe the high risk will be confined to north-central and central TX, based on the wording of the latest SPC MD.