4/13/07 NOW: TX/OK

[Jordan Hartley]

Storms have fired in nc Tx and a svr warning for Stonewall Co in NW Tx I think is the first warning of the day. Looks like the show is beginning to start W of Dallas and the warm sector looks very good on the vis sat with plenty of heating taking place. I like the storm near Aspemont right now being its all by itself and ahead of the main line.

Edit: Starting to see rotation with the storm that is now E of Aspemont. Storm taking on a sup look to it on radar and now showing a hook in the last 2 frames.

 

[Mike Mezeul II]

Currently waiting in Denton for my chase partner to arrive, then I'll be heading a bit west on 380. Good luck to everyone and stay safe.

 

[Ray Walker]

I am currently west of Fortworth heading west towards mineral wells. I dont know if I should head back towards Waco or keep heading west towards the dryline. Any sugetions?

 

[Jordan Hartley]

Tor warning for the storm in E of Aspemont in Haskell Co Tx. Storm showing very good rotation. Storm tracking to the NE at 30 mph. Several cells have developed north of the tornado warned storm. They too seem to be trying to rotate as well.

 

[David Wolfson]

Looks like the show has begun near Aspermont with a little rocket. I'm virtually heading from Ringgold toward Bowie to find a good datastop and watch for awhile. [Ray W. -- Jacksboro is a similar thought in your vicinity with good road options, and gets you away from the congested DFW area a bit?]

 

[Chris Wilburn]

I would head just a little bit further west and find a nice road option to the south. If you need to head south you can. I would wait for a storm further south down the dryline that you can wait on coming up to you. These storm will get into better moisture soon.

I am currently west of Fortworth heading west towards mineral wells. I dont know if I should head back towards Waco or keep heading west towards the dryline. Any sugetions?

 

[afischer]

Haskell co. storm looks to have a flying eagle appearance on radar. Synoptic triple point is to the northwest in King county, near Guthrie. Storm should be crossing surface warm front soon and will ingest enhanced 1km SRH. Latest SVS on Tor Warning changed the motion from 30mph to 55mph.

 

[JP Santiago]

Two tornado warnings for the Haskell Co. storm now.....seems like they're both referring to the same thing, though.....

 

[Marko Korosec]

This Haskell storm has now a TVS on it! Some impressive rotations seen on the latest scans at all tilts.

EDIT: grammar correction

 

[Ray Walker]

TVS on storm south of crowell.

 

[Tim Vasquez]

At this point I'm going to call it a sucker storm, departing the warm front into drier, grungy air in the US 287 corridor. Nice shear but updrafts should start weakening in the next 30-45 minutes. The window of opportunity is closing on it. I'd look for more matches & fuses in the congested Cu area around Abilene - Stamford - Albany.

 

[Donald Giuliano]

It'll be interesting to see what happens when some of these storms interact with the warm front. It appears the models were right about the low-level shear moving well out ahead of the dryline, as the LLS in the warm sector leaves a lot to be desired based on VWPs from DYX, SJT, EWX. If I were out, I'd probably be playing the front hoping a storm could take advantage of the enhanced LLS before going elevated as it crosses the frontal zone.

 

[Michael Carlson]

TVS Is back for that TW cell, spotters indicated strong rotation!

 

[Chris Wilburn]

I agree with Tim. This storm is rather impressive, but as it gets further north it will run into a less stable environment and less moisture. I would target something coming up further south on the dryline. Maybe setup north of Abilene where the moisture is good and will likely even increase a few degrees in the next couple hours. A nice supercell will eventually form in this area and track northeast. Just stay of the dryline a little bit so you don't have to play catch up to these storms that are moving fast.

 

[afischer]

2pm mesonet obs suggest the warm front is "lifting" into far NW TX... so the relatively fast-moving storm may have a shot at tornado-ing.