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4/13/07 NOW: TX/OK

  • Thread starter Thread starter Jordan Hartley
  • Start date Start date
Tor warning for Wise county.....looks to be embedded for sure, looks like it has its eye on Denton. Might be along or just north of warm front....I would definitely look out for that one!
 
effective helicity values well above 400 m/s2...

3000 sbcapes...

68+ Tds...and a high risk

when are these individual supercells going to start firing?

i really think the real action is going to be south and east of the high risk area...
 
Tor warning for Wise county.....looks to be embedded for sure, looks like it has its eye on Denton. Might be along or just north of warm front....I would definitely look out for that one!

I'd be very, very surprised to see any tornadoes out of that storm segment. The northern half of the line is still showing a strong cold pool on the leading edge. Just got word from a chaser that the north end of the line looks terrible and the cold pool just caught up with them...south south south...it's the only decent possibility right now.
 
With a big squall line configuration, the question is what's in the warm sector. There are two boundaries; one the original warm front from Huntsville - Italy - Weatherford, and the old Red River front near Mt Pleasant - Commerce - Melissa - Valley View - Bowie. The northern front is actually looking pretty decent for a severe weather event... a storm can easily pick that boundary up, and as others have noted, the DFW area has primed up. So I do see potential with the cell that's coming into Denton County.

Further south it's not so clear, and the boundary orientation still looks bad, but you can easily go back to Moller's basics and chalk out an action area in a box east of Mineral Wells to Hillsboro and west of Palestine to Dallas. The triple point currently south of Weatherford (shifting SE) and where the moist axis and slightly backed wind impinges on the squall line (Fort Worth) will be the key areas, and those will shift SE as the line advances. Some of the cells west of Johnson County aren't looking all that bad, though the outflowishness is annoying.

Tim
 
070413a.jpg


Wedge tornado 3 miles southeast of Seymore, TX at 2:40pm CDT.


Was this tornado called in? I see no mention of it in the SPC log...
 
I'd be very, very surprised to see any tornadoes out of that storm segment. The northern half of the line is still showing a strong cold pool on the leading edge. Just got word from a chaser that the north end of the line looks terrible and the cold pool just caught up with them...south south south...it's the only decent possibility right now.


No question about it, south is the way to go. I figure the "spotter report" could be a false spinup on the gust front. It does not look impressive, had a little notch in it for a few scans. But given the stablility of the atmosphere north of DFW anyone would be shocked to see anything really NOTEWORTHY coming out of that line. I like to growing prospects of the embedded supercells from FW to Brownwood. This atmosphere is just to good to waste!!!

EDIT: Tor warning for Tarrant county.....strong rotation indicated and spotters indicate a tornado developing just north of downtown Ft Worth
 
Tornado Warning for Ft. Worth just issued........ valid until 6:45 PM.
(Developing tornado reported by spotters........does that make it a funnel cloud?!?)
 
I certainly wouldn't expect any long-lived, deep mesocyclones on the northern end of that line...except any storms moving along the boundary.

It's good to see there was at least one good tornado earlier on over open country.

*Edit - I recind any and all previous statements about the north end of the line ;)
 
Anyone watching the live feed see that funnel? They were doing a live feed in downtown Ft. Worth And I saw a funnel. They had the camera looking up into the meso as it passed over downtown... AMAZING!!! Rotation meso hoovering over Ft.Worth right now moving due east. Tennisball size hail reported just north of downtown.

Edit:There has to be at least a small tornado on the ground right now.
 
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fwd radar at 2313 appears to show possible major tornado developing just ne of fort worth. this looks really bad.
 
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