Darrin Rasberry
Going to saddle my horse on the Childress cell.
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3/9/09 NOW: OK/KS/MO
- Thread starter Gabe Garfield
- Start date
Andrew Stoller
EF5
The 21Z RUC forecast sounding for Enid shows -59 J/KG, and climbs to 150 by 00z Tue. So capping might still be a concern.
Rodney Price
EF0
Nice little storm split earlier with that storm that's now in NW Chautauqua Co., KS. More encouraged by development northeast of Medford.
Adam Atkins
EF2
Initiation! I'd wait for the southern cells to consolidate, hopefully into something single-celled. The extent of the northern instability isn't as widespread as the southern juice. Magic hour is coming...just how long will the daylight last is the question? 
Best bet at this point looks to be NW of OKC...if you can catch a cell that goes up and rides along the DL-WF intersection that looks to set up in NC Oklahoma (west of Ponca City) that is your best bet. The ones to the south I think are going to be eaten up once they get to the eastern edge of the thermal ridge that extends from roughly Grandfield to Alva.
The northern end of the target is somewhat mitigated by the presence of the front, so we will see what happens in the next 1:30 or so.
The northern end of the target is somewhat mitigated by the presence of the front, so we will see what happens in the next 1:30 or so.
Chip Redmond
EF4
The small line south of Altus seems to have alot of surface heating to its south to work with. It would definitely by the one to watch in southwest OK
Chip
Chip
Andrew Ryan
EF3
Isolated cell just east of Elk City, near Burns Flat.
Sitting in Thomas, OK...Was going after the northern cell but it seems really disorganized and the cells the south are looking better and better.. Will Hold Tight and see what happens
Evan Stubbart
EF1
I'm calling my chase off and heading home. Nothing on radar or from what I'm seeing here looks promising anymore. Best chance for a Tornado looks like the Lawton area around the red river... Good luck to anyone staying out after dark.
Jeff Snyder
EF5
Gabe Garfield, I, and several others are sitting at Exit 4 off I35 in far S KS watching a storm move off to our N/NE. It's pretty cool here, and the altostratus was pretty thick up here. The tops have been relatively low, but that's not terribly surprising given the forecast SkewTs. I'm interested in the activity to the southwest of here, hoping we can get a mature storm to develop BEFORE hitting the boundary, on the chance that a supercell can anchor itself on the boundary. Thus far, we've had storms that have develop on the front/boundary before moving over into the cooler air. Eyes to the southwest...
Mike Smith
0-1 km helicities are in the 300-400 range in southern KS per SPC tools. This is confirmed by ICT VAD winds.
Heidi Farrar
EF3
- Joined
- Sep 26, 2007
- Messages
- 217
David Drummond is on the cell just east of Altus; it looks like it very close to producing. Big wall cloud and nice lowering. http://tornadovideos.net/full-screen-chaser-video.php
Chris Vagasky
EF3
Storms in West/Southwest Oklahoma all starting to spin. Here we go.
Verne Carlson
EF5
Brian Emfinger has something dropping out of the cloudbase and touching the ground! http://tornadovideos.net/full-screen-chaser-video.php
JR Hehnly
EF4
That's a good example of how smoke could be interpreted as a tornado if it were not for the video. Looked pretty convincing for a while.
