nickgrillo
EF5
Appears to be a chance for severe weather in the great lakes area. What do you think?
discuss:
discuss:
SUNDAY...
THETA-E RIDGE AXIS IS OVERHEAD WITH FIRST WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH. WHERE THIS WARM FRONT FINALLY SETS UP
WILL DICTATE A LOT WHAT HAPPENS LATER IN THE PERIOD. WITH INFLUX OF
MOISTURE WE WILL NEED TO CARRY SCATTERED SHOWERS. ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WITH SWI/S AROUND 0C WOULD SUPPORT OUR CHANCES FOR
THUNDER. IF WE ARE ABLE TO GET THIS WARM FRONT FAR ENOUGH NORTH,
LATE SUNDAY COULD BECOME INTERESTING WITH MODIFIED PARCELS
SUGGESTING CAPES CLIMBING TOWARD 1000 J/KG WITH SURFACE BASED LI/S
BELOW 0C. AGAIN, PLENTY OF TIME TO MONITOR!
Originally posted by rdale
I don't see anything other than some gusty winds will 'squall line' passage...
I tend to agree with Rob. I'm not seeing much in the way of directional shear, and the CAPE values look pretty low. Decent instability though. Still, I doubt it will be enough to convince me to buy a tank of gas. I'm awaiting the 0Z model runs and the 6Z SWODY1, but I don't expect to find too much different.Originally posted by rdale
I don't see anything other than some gusty winds will 'squall line' passage...
Originally posted by Ben Cotton
I tend to agree with Rob. I'm not seeing much in the way of directional shear, and the CAPE values look pretty low. Decent instability though. Still, I doubt it will be enough to convince me to buy a tank of gas. I'm awaiting the 0Z model runs and the 6Z SWODY1, but I don't expect to find too much different.
Ben
Originally posted by nickgrillo
Appears to be a chance for severe weather in the great lakes area. What do you think?