Robert Dewey
EF5
TOR watches are up, and NEXRAD showing what may be development across MI ... Roughly along a line from 20M W of Saginaw, MI to Logansport, IN. Original cells that developed have collapsed...
T's are currently in the low 60's across most of SE MI, with upper 60's to near 70F located over far SW MI and northern IN as of 1645Z OBS. VIS imagery shows decent Cu build up along the front as well, but nothing too impressive attm.
My thought's are a *little* more positive, but SPC indicating hardly any CAPE (exception of SW MI and NE IN, where 250J/KG is located) makes me question whether significant development can occur. Of interest though, is the effective SRH across northern IN / SW MI ... With values 0-3KM values of nearly 500M2/S2.
T's are currently in the low 60's across most of SE MI, with upper 60's to near 70F located over far SW MI and northern IN as of 1645Z OBS. VIS imagery shows decent Cu build up along the front as well, but nothing too impressive attm.
My thought's are a *little* more positive, but SPC indicating hardly any CAPE (exception of SW MI and NE IN, where 250J/KG is located) makes me question whether significant development can occur. Of interest though, is the effective SRH across northern IN / SW MI ... With values 0-3KM values of nearly 500M2/S2.