Fourth day of chase vacation and another weird one. Started the day in GCK with plans to head first to Lamar for lunch at one of our longtime favorite places, Thai Spicy Basil (as an aside, turns out they changed ownership three years ago, it’s still good, but not as good, and not as authentic), intending to update our forecast there and see how far the warm front was progressing, figuring our ultimate target would be somewhere around Eads or Kit Carson or slightly west, possibly all the way up to I-70.
When we finished lunch it was only a little after 12MDT and we were surprised to see that convection was already initiating down around Springfield IIRC, and an SPC MSD had been issued an hour ago. It was like Campo all over again, jerking around at Thai Spicy Basil and being too nonchalant and non-vigilant about early initiation. The MSD said:
“...midlevel capping will require additional heating and the early convection is not expected to pose a threat in the short term. By around 19-20z, convective initiation is expected in the vicinity of the triple point and southward along the dryline.”
If they had stopped at the first sentence, I might have thought, OK, maybe no threat right now, maybe they are elevated, but once they become surface-based it’s game-on. But the addition of that second sentence made it sound like, “forget this early stuff, the real initiation is still an hour or two away.” We began to head north to our original target but now stuff was going up there too, and the whole area is clouded over with anvil blow-off; no way anything new is going up anytime soon. Then the tornado watch comes out and it talks about convection increasing in coverage and intensity. Oh, so now I guess the early initiation was the start of the main show?!? Seemed to contradict the MSD... But it all looked like crap and I thought, here we go again with the early storms and upscale growth, we are done...
We retreated to Lamar just to wait out the early stuff, there was really nothing to chase and we thought maybe we would have a later afternoon play further north in CO once the early storms moved east and moisture wrapped in on its northeast trajectory N/NE of the triple point. For about an hour I killed time texting friends, reading and posting on ST, not even looking at radar. Then at 3pm we check and see a tornado warning on a cell west of Lamar, and an earlier tornado report (on a different cell I think) right near Lamar!!! I was ready to resign my ST membership right then and there, what the hell is wrong with us, not bothering to monitor radar?!? It’s like we had already mentally bailed on the day, at least until potential later development up N/NW. Based on a quick look at a radar loop, it looked like the Lamar TOR report came from a cell that flew up north from the panhandles and quickly flared up, so I’d like to think it was just a landspout. I’ll have to study that later, unless anybody has some intel on what actually happened.
Anyway, the chase was on to the TOR-warned cell west of Lamar. We intercepted it and then went north from Wiley to Eads. There was a constant line of chasers. It was grungy underneath the base but at one point a feature came into view in the shape of a rope tornado but broken into segments. I have seen a tornado rope out and break into segments, but these segments looked like cotton puffs, they were not cylindrical. But they were not in a pattern or direction that could have been scud. The time was around 6:13MDT, and sure enough a report of a tornado on the ground for a minute came out around that time, so maybe we were seeing the last stages of a segmented rope that finally became visible out of the grunge as we got a little closer to the storm? Who knows, just an interesting feature and I would like to know what it was or if anyone else saw it. I am certainly not counting it as a tornado for myself.
At Eads we went east on 96. With limited road options and storm motion, we had ended up on the southwest flank so had to hook slice now on 96 but there was no rotation or TOR warning at this time. When we got back to the SE quadrant we stopped to check out the base, it was pretty mushy but the wrapping rain curtains were pretty cool.
We saw two accidents on 96 between Eads and Sheridan Lake - one SUV nose down in a ditch, and farther up the road a silver Kia had been smashed in the back and an ambulance was on the scene. This is bad stuff. Chaser convergence is now yet another variable to worry about. Now you have to strategize about when to stop so you don’t end up at the end of the line. Nuts.
We went north from Sheridan Lake to Cheyenne Wells (CW). By the time we got to CW the storm was an outflow dominant HP; these are the pictures below, one on the way and two in town. We went north out of CW and soon a new circulation center and ragged rotating wall cloud formed down the road just ahead of us. A new tornado warning was issued but the storm became outflow dominant again and we could never again see any discernible features even though I think another tornado warning was issued later.
Soon everything was congealed into a line. A new tornado warning came out in the line back down in CW, and there was another TOR-warned cell back in Hugo that still looked isolated, but its time had to be limited as it was behind all this other stuff, so we didn’t bother going after it. Amazing to see the solid red practically unbroken line from CO all the way down into the TX panhandle, and the one isolated tail-end Charlie tornadic supercell down near Dora NM. The LBB area again!!! We should never have left there on Friday evening...
We called it a day in Burlington and went out for a great dinner at The Dish Room. We discovered this place last year and I highly recommend it. There were a bunch of chasers there and I serendipitously ended up at the table right next to
@David Williams and caddy-corned from Jon and Shawna Davies.