• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2014-06-06 FCST: KS/OK

Joined
Feb 21, 2012
Messages
171
Location
Wichita, KS
The GFS and NAM seem to be in agreement of a shortwave impacting south-central KS and north-central OK on Friday. Winds are backed almost 90 degrees along the warm front, and dews shouldn't have trouble approaching or exceeding 70 F. 500 mb shear up to 60 kts in these areas, as well.

Thanks to ongoing convection, temp/dew depressions should be less than 10 degrees and LCLs should be plenty low. Despite that convection, it looks as if the NAM redevelops storms somewhere southwest of the ongoing MCS, and CAPE values still manage to reach 3000 J/kg. Hodographs are impressive in a small area in southern KS:

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.lat=37.3001&sounding.lon=-98.5917&prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=06&model_dd=03&model_init_hh=18&fhour=75&parameter=EHI&level=1000&unit=M&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false&sounding=y&sndclick=y

Problems with this one are obviously the convection going on all day and the cap. Will supercells be able to develop along the warm front behind the MCS and/or on the southern end of it? I may be getting into too much detail three days out, but I'm curious what others think about this setup, particularly how the easterly surface winds and previous convection could affect storm redevelopment.
 
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Amazed the Northern Texas Panhandle (and nearby areas) are not in a Moderate Risk today. Parameters are quite impressive this afternoon, with SPC RAP late afternoon forecast CAPE values around 4k, acceptable LCL's, and helicity values in the region of 200-400 in addition to front interactions.

Initial target is Boise City.

W.
 
The HRRR had been consistently popping storms around 4-5 pm west of Amarillo and the go east all the way through the night. The big thing is this warm front sagging through the panhandle. If any storm can stay discrete, it'll probably end up being a monster supercell.
 
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