11/30/06 FCST: Mid South Mid MS Valley

interesting setup looks to be occurring Thursday afternoon and ESP Thursday night I wouldnt be surprised to see a SVR Wx outbreak comparable to a few weeks ago that hit the deep south.....

SPC has a bullseye of 30% around the memphis tn, area to the vicksburg, ms area......

"LARGE-SCALE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF A LOW
INSTABILITY-STRONG SHEAR SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE THURSDAY INTOTHURSDAY NIGHT."

" SHOULD A MORE SIGNIFICANT SURFACE LOW DEVELOP /SIMILAR TO THE GFS/...AN INCREASING THREAT OF SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES WOULD EXIST ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW TRACK."

Looks like we could have a nocturnal TOR event if the low strengthens as what many of you believe will happen given the hype about a potential winter storm, depending on how much instability they get down there in that area, with temperatures in the low to mid 70's and strong winds aloft, looks to be like it could be a pretty dangerous situation......

Again its still 2 days out and is subject to change but right now looks like a major winter storm to form back in MO IL and etc and a SVR wx episode continuing over from tomorrows convection in the south

Idk if id go out even if i lived around there because storm speeds will probably 45+, it would be dark out and the terrain isnt the best
 
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