Billy Griffin
I'm not as skeptical about tornadoes in OK anymore, just skeptical about them in the prime chase terrain. Via mesonet data, dryline looks like it's just west of OKC and darn screaming through north-central OK.
Enid's TD is 51, Ponca City 53, etc. Only 1:40pm, so if cap holds 'til 4-5pm"ish," I'm concerned the threat will have already passed OKC. Of course, this all depends on just how fast the dryline will move east. A concern some share is the veering of surface winds, even just ahead of the dryline. SW surface winds are depicted on the mesonet analysis, over a large portion of OK. I just wish the winds would back more out of the east. Jeff does have a point - if things go here in the next hour or so, OKC and the I-44 corridor are prime for a beast of a storm. It's juicy, it's windy, skies are mostly clear now, and it's warm, very warm!
Enid's TD is 51, Ponca City 53, etc. Only 1:40pm, so if cap holds 'til 4-5pm"ish," I'm concerned the threat will have already passed OKC. Of course, this all depends on just how fast the dryline will move east. A concern some share is the veering of surface winds, even just ahead of the dryline. SW surface winds are depicted on the mesonet analysis, over a large portion of OK. I just wish the winds would back more out of the east. Jeff does have a point - if things go here in the next hour or so, OKC and the I-44 corridor are prime for a beast of a storm. It's juicy, it's windy, skies are mostly clear now, and it's warm, very warm!
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