05/05/2007 NOW: NE, KS, OK, TX

[Kenny Drake]

Looking at the cells that went up it appears they will take their time getting planted. Currently, it looks like they are getting sheared apart. I would say in the next few hours a couple of these cells will take off and then the real action will get going. As of right now I am paying attention to NW OK southwards to near I-40. 12:45CDT Vis sat shows the southern extent of the Cu just north of I-40 in the eastern TX Panhandle.

 

[Jeff Piotrowski]

Storm near Englewood Kansas strong rotation NOW!!!

This storm is headed for Sitka & Greensburg Kansas tornado may form at any time.

 

[Chad Ringley]

Svr warned cell now SW of Ashland, KS in Clark County beginning to rapidly intensify as echo tops, VIL, and br tilt 3-4 have come way up in last few scans. This may be the first customer of the day in KS.

 

[Jeff Piotrowski]

Storm in Clark County rotation has weakened for now.

The next storm south in SW Harper county Oklahoma is showing rotation now.

 

[David Wolfson]

Cell approaching Fort Supply, OK, seems to be TEC and ready to drop. All ingredients seem in place for this storm to track for a very long time. Good luck all, and stay safe.

 

[mike scantlin]

just to clear things up, please specify states. there are many states with the same town names. it just makes things less confusing.


most of the storms along this line seem to be too elongated for any sustained organized rotation. why is that?

 

[Mark Farnik]

Two impressive supercells have developed along the dryline, which is currently curving back to the northwest roughly bisecting northwestern KS, far northeastern CO and the NE Panhandle, with Akron, CO and Sidney,NE reporting 47 degree dp's, Goodland, KS reporting a dp of 41 and Burlington, CO reporting a dp of 31. On the other side of the coin, Ogallala and Imperial/McCook, NE are reporting dp's of 59 and 57 respectively! The first supercell is in eastern Logan County, CO, near the town of Haxtun, moving northeast at 35 mph. Another well organized supercell has developed north of Wray, also moving northeast at 35 mph. These cells are very well organized and very isolated, so once they cross into the extremely juicy and favorable environment in southwestern NE... these puppies are going to go nuts!
I'm just absolutely furious that I have a f@$#%&! commitment tonight! Of all nights to have a stupid freakin' commitment, this HAD to be the night... just my goddamn luck. If it wasn't for this fact, I would be out the door right now and if I floored it I would be able to catch up to either one of these storms as they entered NE... I know I'm going to miss a helluva show in southwestern NE this afternoon and tonight. A High Risk only 150 miles away, and I can't chase it. It makes me very, very sick to my stomach.

EDIT: Yuma Co. supercell is moving into southwestern NE, currently crossing U.S. 6 right on the CO/NE state line between Holyoke and Imperial. Should move near or just east of Ogallala in the next hour or so.

 

[David Wolfson]

If I had to guess, Mike, I'd say that it's still early and CAPE is still not up to where it can stand up to the shear. There was very little cap, so the early storms go up quickly and crap on each other.

 

[Kevin Statler2]

Guess things wont get going til evening..

 

[mike scantlin]

looking at BR, it appears that there are OFBs coming out of the back of most of the cells in SW KS. theres a nice squiggly line from north of dodge city all the way through the OK panhandle and into TX. i guess we will have to wait for the main show, at least in this area. just glancing over the meso-analysis composite maps, parameters look very impressive everywhere but ks. in OK/TX and in NE and then the northeast corner of NE into IA, SD, and MN.

 

[Dick McGowan]

Sitting in coldwater, watching our supercell in OK elongate itself. Guess we'll have to wait for it to get its act together.

 

[Dick McGowan]

Anyone wishes to watch out live webcam....can here:

http://tornadolive.com/live.html

 

[Caleb Kimbrough]

The TJ team is sitting just west of Hay, KS about 1/4 north of I-70 on 183.

We're watching all these Northern storms pass us by and die. It's exciting, if anyone wants to join us.

Caleb

 

[Patrick Martin]

Yuma Co. supercell is moving into southwestern NE, currently crossing U.S. 6 right on the CO/NE state line between Holyoke and Imperial. Should move near or just east of Ogallala in the next hour or so.

The former Yuma co storm now tor warned for Perkins co NE and a warning for Keith co NE likely to follow. Looping radar this storm appears to be a right split. It's slightly right turning away from the surface low, has maintained a shear marke, and if can continue to turn more easterly, it'll start to move into an even more favorable environment.

 

[Howard Robinson]

Another PDS watch box just went up covering portions of IA,MO,NE,KS