Bill Tabor
EF5
My guess is more likely upper 50's and maybe lower 60's dews in western OK tomorrow by 0z. I'm not so convinced the cap will break as early as 21z, although there does some to be some mid level lift earlier on. Will we get earlier elevated convection, maybe. My guess is the cap will go near 0z though there is a chance of a bit earlier. If one of those waves kicks it off before 21z I doubt it will be a good thing chase wise. Having looked at forecast soundings of sw OK and western n TX I have to concur with Jeff. There are some pretty hellacious readings out there. Most of this occurs between 0z and 3z. Those aren't really the best day time chase times though.
There could be a number of us out there in the dark when all hell breaks loose.
Done that a few times. I definitely concur with all the areas previously mentioned, but I do believe convection can occur further south, (far as I can tell) 0z NAM only shows 5 degrees at 700mb near and just south of the Red.
If it does go at 0z...that's not a lot of time to take pictures before dark. I suppose there is always the lightning backlit wallcloud/tube pictures that are sometimes possible. Some of these beasties near Lawton, Altus, Hobart near 10pm CDT may be vicious.
Not sure if I will pull the trigger yet, but hard not to considering the setup. Man, what has it been only 2 days since the last chase?
I'm driving a darker green '96 Chevy Tahoe 4wd if you see me out there (TX plates)(no stickers or lights). Feel free to honk, wave or stop nearby. Seems a lot of the folks out there are those of us here and in the REPORTS section of Stormtrack. Occasionally I run into someone that's on CFDG, Wxchase, etc. If I'm out I'll be trying my new www.SevereStreaming.com software. Look for me on the live chase cams section.
If it does go at 0z...that's not a lot of time to take pictures before dark. I suppose there is always the lightning backlit wallcloud/tube pictures that are sometimes possible. Some of these beasties near Lawton, Altus, Hobart near 10pm CDT may be vicious.
Not sure if I will pull the trigger yet, but hard not to considering the setup. Man, what has it been only 2 days since the last chase?