When will it stop?!?

[Sam Sagnella]

Unbefreakinlievable! Sorry to create another thread on this topic.

Looking at satellite images from the tropical Atlantic this morning (AUGUST 4!):

a) Harvey looks MUCH better organized with deep convection developing very near the center of circulation; with SSTs >28C for another 12h or so and marginal shear conditions it is feasible that Harvey will become the THIRD hurricane this season.

B) the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic (located roughly 15N 35W) looks to be developing a surface low pressure center (per recent QUIKSCAT pass. If this is true, then advisories will likely be initiated on the NINTH tropical depression of the season. Furthermore, there is no reason to believe that at least slow strengthening will continue to take place, meaning that we may be introduced to IRENE by this time tomorrow. It is interesting to note that all models strengthen this system to at least tropical storm status (the GFDL to Cat3) and bring it north of the islands.

WOW...18-21 named storms...absolutely rediculous. Anyone know what the 22nd named storm will be called?

 

[Jeff Snyder]

Anyone know what the 22nd named storm will be called?

That's an interesting question. I'd think that they'd have a plan for it, though it's entirely unprecendented. Maybe they'd start with the "A" name for 2006?

 

[Edward Ballou]

How about

AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH! (screaming)

:lol:

If they get back around to E, maybe they can just name that Enough...

 

[Aric Cylkowski]

I heard somewhere that they will go to the Greek Alphabet if they max out the 'cane list. So the 22nd storm would be Alpha, followed by Beta, etc.

To be quite honest, who knows until the NHC reaches that point?

 

[Jeff Snyder]

How about

AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH! (screaming)

:lol:

If they get back around to E, maybe they can just name that Enough...

HURRICANE ENOUGH ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN NOV 28 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS ENOUGH MOVING TOWARDS THE CITY FORMERY KNOWN AS NEW ORLEANS...

A BLANKET HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE ENTIRE EASTERN US SEABOARD AND COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS TO EASTPORT MAINE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM VENEZUALA TO GREENLAND.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. THOSE LOCALES NOT AREADY DESTROYED BY THE PREVIOUS 25 NAMED STORMS SHOULD THINK ABOUT PERMANENTLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ENOUGH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

ENOUGH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ENOUGH IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL...HOWEVER...ENOUGH IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY FIVE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. BUT IN ALL HONESTY...DOES IT MATTER?

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 330 MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH ENOUGH MAY OCCUR AS FAR AS 250 TO 275 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE COURTESY OF REDUCED LAND SURFACE FRICTION RESULTING FROM THE COMPLETE DESTRUCTION CAUSED BY THE 5 PREVIOUS LANDFALLING HURRICANES IN THE AREA THE PAST 60 DAYS.

THE LATEST MEASURED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A COMMANDEERED SOUTHWEST AIRLINES AIRCRACT WAS 905 MB. A NEW RECON AIRCRAFT...REPLACING THE 4 PREVIOUS AIRCRAFT WHICH HAVE BEEN WORN OUT THIS YEAR...IS BEING RETROFITTED WITH A KESTREL NOW AND WILL IN VICINITY OF THE STORM IN A FEW HOURS.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF ENOUGH CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...EXPECT SALTWATER TO PENETRATE 100 MILES UP THE MISSISSIPPI AND NEARBY RIVERS OWING TO THE FACT THAT THE COASTLINE HAS FALLEN INTO THE GULF AS FAR AS 75 MILES INLAND COURTESY OF HURRICANE ARMAGEDDON.

ENOUGH IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE ENOUGH MAKES LANDFALL THOUGH THIS DOESNT MATTER SINCE MUCH OF THE AREA AFFECTED IS STILL UNDER WATER FROM PREVIOUS LANDFALLING STORMS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. THOSE WHO AVOIDED DAMAGE FROM TROPICAL STORM STAN...HURRICANE VINCE...AND HURRICANE DANGIT SHOULD PACK UP AND TO ALASKA.

DUE TO EXPECTED LANDFALL FROM HURRICANE O-NO SOON, USERS ARE URGED TO REFER TO O-NO ADVISORIES FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 86.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...165 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 905 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BURNTOUT

 

[Dan Cook]

How about

AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH! (screaming)

:lol:

If they get back around to E, maybe they can just name that Enough...

:lol:

 

[Edward Ballou]

Sorry to hijack the thread in a way...in relation to naming conventions, but have you ever heard Henry Rollins talk about weather forecasting and El Nino? It's the most hilarious thing in the world.

Have you noticed that the weather is always changing now because of El Nino and now everything can be blamed on La Nina, which translates into what...the child?!?! A thing, a weather pattern, that demolishes California - puts it probably where it should be - IN THE WATER! Bye!

So why would you name this thing that is demolishing parts of America, flooding poor people out of their homes, ripping apart places like Peru, totally changing the world's economy due to things like farmers can't get their sh*t together and all this sh*t is happening...why would you call it "the child". Like, can a four year old kick your town's a$$? (little kid laughing) I think they should call it, the Motherf*cker, and have straight-faced weatherman, "If you're thinking about going fishing this weekend, then think again - the Motherf*cker will be sending 4 inches of rain into your town...people in Santa Barbara, CA are feeling the wrath of the Motherf*cker." Cut to Mississippi where it floods all the time, (some poor joe) "Everything was fine until the Motherf*cker came and took it all away." Because El Nino just doesn't cut it for me. Maybe we should just call it "The First Four Black Sabbath Albums" (weatherman) "Bakersville California was destroyed today by the First Four Black Sabbath Albums"

His stuff is hilarious..usually people only know him because he's in a band but he's got some comedy stuff that is just awesome.

 

[Sam Sagnella]

The first advisory on Tropical Depression Nine will be issued at 5pm EDT.

 

[Jason Toft]

Great Quote

Advisory Numero Uno on TD #9

Great quote...think the NHC is tired yet? LOL

...AND YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE ATLANTIC...

That's just funny.

Jason

 

[Jason Toft]

Quote from Discussion #1...man, these are some funny meteorologists!

YES...INDEED WE HAVE ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE DEEP
TROPICS.

:lol:

Jason[/quote]

 

[Bill Hark]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...en_s_loop.shtml

The long range models are looking very interesting for the east. Of course, the actual tract will be different than these early models.

Bill Hark