FEMA director has acknowledged that FEMA did not expect the unrest and violence that has broken out. I don't know which is more pathetic, that or Bush saying no one expected the levees to break.
You've got to be living on PLUTO not to have predicted and modeled and trained for civil unrest and looting and violence in ANY major disaster scenario in ANY major city in the United States, much less in a flooded city where 25% of the people live under the poverty line. That lack of foresight and resulting lack of blitzkreig action to contain the unrest has been one of the biggest problems in NOLA.
In addition, no planning was done ahead of time to provide means for those without other means to evacuate in the first place. NPR reported this morning that the use of trains and barges was contemplated at some point in planning, but the final plan assumed most people would have their own transportation. Again, complete disconnect with reality and lack of foresight/resources -- even though this problem was identified in print years ago:
Each time you hear a federal, state or city official explain what he or she is doing to help New Orleans, consider the opening paragraphs of a July 24 story in the New Orleans Times-Picayune.
"City, state and federal emergency officials are preparing to give the poorest of New Orleans' poor a historically blunt message: In the event of a major hurricane, you're on your own."...
http://www.ajc.com/opinion/content/opinion...5/01edwitt.html
and further exposed last year in the city's narrow escape from Ivan:
...Those who had the money to flee Hurricane Ivan ran into hours-long traffic jams. Those too poor to leave the city had to find their own shelter - a policy that was eventually reversed, but only a few hours before the deadly storm struck land.
New Orleans dodged the knockout punch many feared from the hurricane, but the storm exposed what some say are significant flaws in the Big Easy's civil disaster plans....
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/091904c....132602486.html
I've seen interviews with many who stayed not because they wanted to but because they had no practical way out. Many with means did try, saw the traffic, just assumed it was hopeless and went home. Those of us here watch the weather for fun and profit. Most people don't. We would have been out of there on Friday or Saturday. For a lot of folks who waited to be told to leave, it was already too late. Others have already discussed the sick, elderly, and infirm.
And many just didn't have the means. From a WWL Katrina Blog item about Jesse Jackson's press conference today:
Jackson said 120,000 people in New Orleans make less than $8,000 a year, and are without private transportation. Thus, they had no capacity to leave the city, and no place to go even if they could leave.
www.wwltv.com/local/stories/WWLBLOG.ac3fcea.html
I realize Jackson has multiple axes to grind and may have his facts wrong, but that number sounds quite reasonable to me. Official numbers cited all over the media have said that 25% of the city's population lives below poverty line. The 2005 definition of poverty for a household of one person is $9,570, and the population of NOLA is just under 500,000. You do the math. And then tell me how you're supposed to afford a car or a hotel room on YOUR $8,000 per year.
As I've said before, the lack of REALISTIC planning here, considering how well known the threat has been, is absolutely unconscionable. Forget politics. And the lack of action when the ramifications of that lack of planning became apparent is appalling.