cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Even if it does survive, and moves WNW ... Is anyone looking at the 500 MB progs for the US East Coast? I see troughs, again (aka: Recurve out to sea and stir up a few fishes).
2009 ... Continues to disappoint, remember?
We all SHOULD be in the Pacific this year (sigh) ;-(
Even if it does survive, and moves WNW ... Is anyone looking at the 500 MB progs for the US East Coast? I see troughs, again (aka: Recurve out to sea and stir up a few fishes).
2009 ... Continues to disappoint, remember?
We all SHOULD be in the Pacific this year (sigh) ;-(
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Greg Blumberg
EF4
NHC reports that reconnaissance aircraft will be investigating 94L this afternoon. We'll know by then...
Brett Adair
EF5
RECON is on the way right now...
Paul Stofer
EF2
Data is already pouring in as they fly through. So far it looks like sustained winds are at 40mph with higher gusts. I believe that meets the Tropical Storm requirements?
Connor McCrorey
EF3
There definitely appears to be a closed circulation based on recon, and it looks excellent on satellite. Erika anyone?
J Kinkaid
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL062009) 20090901 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090901 1800 090902 0600 090902 1800 090903 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 17.0N 57.0W 17.6N 58.8W 18.4N 60.6W 19.0N 62.1W
BAMD 17.0N 57.0W 17.8N 58.3W 18.5N 59.5W 19.1N 60.6W
BAMM 17.0N 57.0W 17.6N 58.5W 18.2N 59.8W 18.6N 61.0W
LBAR 17.0N 57.0W 17.7N 58.3W 18.4N 60.2W 18.7N 61.8W
SHIP 45KTS 55KTS 64KTS 69KTS
DSHP 45KTS 55KTS 64KTS 69KTS
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL062009) 20090901 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090901 1800 090902 0600 090902 1800 090903 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 17.0N 57.0W 17.6N 58.8W 18.4N 60.6W 19.0N 62.1W
BAMD 17.0N 57.0W 17.8N 58.3W 18.5N 59.5W 19.1N 60.6W
BAMM 17.0N 57.0W 17.6N 58.5W 18.2N 59.8W 18.6N 61.0W
LBAR 17.0N 57.0W 17.7N 58.3W 18.4N 60.2W 18.7N 61.8W
SHIP 45KTS 55KTS 64KTS 69KTS
DSHP 45KTS 55KTS 64KTS 69KTS
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
I am sure that the 5 PM EDT NHC update will grant the Atlantic Basin TS Erika, finally.
The Atlantic basin is on the scoreboard once more...
I am sure that the 5 PM EDT NHC update will grant the Atlantic Basin TS Erika, finally.
The Atlantic basin is on the scoreboard once more...
George Kourounis
EF2
Yes, it is on the scoreboard, but I'm not liking the score... Fish storm peaking out at 60 knots. What a waste.
Stuart Robinson
EF5
Look behind Erika in the next coming days ...
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
What else is new?
Screw '09 ... You know 2010 should be less of an El Nino year, and , blah, blah, blah...
What else is new?
Screw '09 ... You know 2010 should be less of an El Nino year, and , blah, blah, blah...
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N Parker
No joke...with 4 waves in line coming out of Africa's monsoon season. #1 is already being watched by NHC.
Jason Foster
Yay for new waves!!!!....the tropical season may yet wait for my return. Gotta love being able to go skiing one week and possible chase a tropical season the next. Man...I need to play the lottery more...
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Yes ... Yay for new waves.
Bowah-wah-wah ... For seeing them develop and recurve out to sea.
As for Erika - Quite frankly, it looks like sh--.
The storm is wekening and down to 40 MPH because of the shear. I would pretty much write this one off because it is only going to encounter a trough and more shear.
I am not paying any attention to anything in the Atlantic anymore this year (unless something is 50 miles east of Miami and moving W at 15).
Sound familiar: NHC (11 AM) ... MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS DO
NOT SHOW MUCH RELAXATION OF THIS SHEAR...AND ACTUALLY SHOW IT
INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
"INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY" - Grab my cr--tch and say "lovely".
Jason ... Have a good trip - You won't miss much.
Yes ... Yay for new waves.
Bowah-wah-wah ... For seeing them develop and recurve out to sea.
As for Erika - Quite frankly, it looks like sh--.
The storm is wekening and down to 40 MPH because of the shear. I would pretty much write this one off because it is only going to encounter a trough and more shear.
I am not paying any attention to anything in the Atlantic anymore this year (unless something is 50 miles east of Miami and moving W at 15).
Sound familiar: NHC (11 AM) ... MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS DO
NOT SHOW MUCH RELAXATION OF THIS SHEAR...AND ACTUALLY SHOW IT
INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
"INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY" - Grab my cr--tch and say "lovely".
Jason ... Have a good trip - You won't miss much.
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Ryan Orlando
EF0
I'm going to stick my head in here once again. According to visible satellite the COC went through Guadeloupe and is now in the Caribbean Sea located at 15.9N -61.2W at 1945Z. If the southwesterly shear everyone has been talking about doesn't dig too far south, then Erika will actually have time to reorganize. Don't give up hope yet Chris. 
