• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Tropical Storm Debby

  • Thread starter Thread starter ChristianTerry
  • Start date Start date

ChristianTerry

Alright since nobody has posted on this I'll start. As of now Tropical Storm Debby has been given a minimum central pressure of 998mb. Maximum Sustained Winds have been set at 50 MPH. As of now it is nearly stationary due to very little steering winds, but later this week a ridge should pick it up and swing it towards the Texas coast as most of the reliable models show. However the GFS has remained consistent with taking this storm toward Florida. GFS has not been very reliable however and so I'm fairly confident that Debby will take the Western course. The question now is where will it come ashore? This storm is also still very disorganized with all the convection off to the east of the center due to shear destroying the northern edge.
 
The center jumped north last night, so the models are likely to trend eastward. It is almost due south of me here in Walton County and drifting north. Coastal areas of the Panhandle are getting pounded with high surf and beach erosion right now and numerous tornado warnings for south Florida this morning. It also looks like the shear is relaxing considerably, leaving the door open for some strengthening today.
 
It is interesting to see that the GFS and ECMWF have been taking the storm in basically opposite directions, and that both models have been consistent with this for the last day or so.
 
I've read the forecast discussion since they've moved the track more than a 100 degrees in the matter of six hours but not really sure what their current reasoning is. I'm a little unclear what did or did not happen to cause it to NOT turn westward and why so many models missed it completely and why one almost nailed it early on. I suspect the gulf is going to see a lot more activity before this season is done.

As of 17:30 CDT there is virtually no center or circulation and it seemed to have split apart into several pieces. A lot of activity going on again over the Yucatan at this same hour but I guess this is basically afternoon heating?
 
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Still a lot of questions regarding landfall on this. Although most of the models are now suggesting a Florida or Alabama landfall, there is still much question regarding the strength it will have. Convection has decreased significantly as the sun has set. Probably due to the large amount of dry air sitting over Texas with that upper level ridge being swung towards Debby. While this might increase the severe potential at least for the short term, it may end up weakening this system. It will be interesting to see the strength tomorrow given it is not moving.
 
Incredible rainfall totals coming out of the Big Bend area south of Tallahassee. My son has measured nearly 17" in Wakulla county over the past 12 hours and 23" over the past 2 days. Catastrophic flooding is occurring tonight.
 
Chalk this up as a win for the GFS. It had the slow moving track over Florida with a weak system but prolonged heavy rain forecast days ago, when most of the other models were taking the storm west.
 
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