Dennis Dennison
Look at that area just rolling off Sierra Leone--that WILL form into a Hurricane, and will hit the USA.
Joe Zagrodnik
If you believe the GFS, Nicole, Otto, and Paula could all form in the Western Caribbean before PGI49 does anything. It will be interesting to see if those forecasted disturbances develop tropical characteristics.
Josh Morgerman
EF4
It looks like that huge W-Caribbean gyre may produce a litter of crappy, low-quality cyclones over the next week or two-- but nothing that would really get anyone here excited-- unless you get excited chasing 40-kt tropical storms.
That's just what I'm hearing from informed sources. Of course, I would love for them to be wrong.
That's just what I'm hearing from informed sources. Of course, I would love for them to be wrong.
cdcollura
EF5
Yes indeed, it does look like garbage...
But hey, we do not have to go "overseas" for it ;-)
But hey, we do not have to go "overseas" for it ;-)
Josh Morgerman
EF4
Seriously!
I owe my grandmother in Boca Raton a visit, so I was thinking I will chase this one if it becomes a hurricane-- even a crappy, Irene-type deal.
Zack Hargrove
EF2
As of now, I am skeptical of this system becoming more than a strong tropical storm. It is now in a favorable environment, but it seems as if when it moves further north into the gulf that the shear will be increasing. It isn't debilitating shear for a system develop, but it definitely cannot support anything stronger than a weak system at this time. However, if this trough moves out before it gets too far north, the shear may vacate the gulf and we could get some better organization. Lord knows the SSTs are still more than high enough.
Attachments
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Irene in 1999 wasn't bad at 85 MPH plus...
Well, so much for the GFS advertised "major hurricane" ... FL is the poor man's hurricane chase territory of 2010.
BTW: Now I am hearing that creepy and all-to-familiar "S" word appearing on the upper-air forecasts now. Ugh.
Seriously!
I owe my grandmother in Boca Raton a visit, so I was thinking I will chase this one if it becomes a hurricane-- even a crappy, Irene-type deal.
Irene in 1999 wasn't bad at 85 MPH plus...
Well, so much for the GFS advertised "major hurricane" ... FL is the poor man's hurricane chase territory of 2010.
BTW: Now I am hearing that creepy and all-to-familiar "S" word appearing on the upper-air forecasts now. Ugh.
cedwards
EF5
BTW: Now I am hearing that creepy and all-to-familiar "S" word appearing on the upper-air forecasts now. Ugh.
Sodium?
Sodium?
Josh Morgerman
EF4
"Subtropical"? Yeah-- ugh. My least-favorite word in the English language.
Oops, I think you meant "shear", now that I think of it.
P.S. Sorry-- I didn't mean to diss Irene. I know some of y'all chased it.
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cdcollura
EF5
Based on recent sat trends, Is this thing even a depression anymore? Im having a real hard seeing that the circulation is tight enough... Maybe its just me, but the 'Shear' to the north of the system isnt helping...Just not sure if its a depression as of right now. There is a low pressure present, but it is extremely broad...
Michael Nicolaou
EF2
And we have Nicole. 11am advisory dropped all the FL warnings but with a trpoical storm windfield of 345 miles I think many people are glad that this didn't have more time over open water to develop further intensity.
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Rain and traffic will be the news for S Florida. The wind, if this thing even has "wind", will be hundreds of miles east (right) of the center. FL is LEFT of the storm.
Another wasted name from a chase perspective...
Rain and traffic will be the news for S Florida. The wind, if this thing even has "wind", will be hundreds of miles east (right) of the center. FL is LEFT of the storm.
Another wasted name from a chase perspective...
Josh Morgerman
EF4
With that kind of sprawling structure, it would have taken about two weeks to tighten up and become anything interesting.
From a satellite-presentation perspective, I think it's the most absurd-looking tropical cyclone I've ever seen.
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Stuart Robinson
EF5
Politics and the brush with USA coastline have made a TS out of nothing
anyhow...
"...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA..."
anyhow...
"...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA..."
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