Mystery setup

[Dan Robinson]

I had a strange dream a few weeks ago that I checked the SPC Day 1 outlook to find this:

What kind of synoptic/mesoscale setups can you come up with to match this type of categorical risk graphic, and where would you chase?

 

[Paul Stofer]

Maybe watch the Day After Tomorrow??? hehe

 

[Chris Sokol]

Maybe Indepence Day or War of the Worlds....

 

[Dan Robinson]

I've also wondered what a high risk for the entire country would look like, following standard convention.

Think they'd they make the letters for 'high' a little bigger, or make them flash on and off or something.

 

[Shane Adams]

I had a strange dream a few weeks ago that I checked the SPC Day 1 outlook to find this:

What kind of synoptic/mesoscale setups can you come up with to match this type of categorical risk graphic, and where would you chase?

All I can dream up would be some type of insane boundary, with decent-enough dewpoint depressions north of it to sustain a tornadic storm for a while longer than a normal "cool-side" storm (to cover the Slight/Mod areas). Perhaps a sharp area of divergence in central TX spreading eastward over the middle expanse of the High risk area, with a strong El-Nino type STJ nosing in over LA/AL for the "meat" of the High risk area trigger. And of course, you gotta have that tropical cyclone off the northern coast of FL/GA/southern SC for the easternmost trigger.

Hell I have no clue

 

[Chris Sokol]

Once again, Central Oklahoma and the Panhandle gets screwed....

 

[Alex Lamers]

I really don't think that there's any possible setup that would equate to that kind of an outlook. No way would there ever be a high risk for the Florida Keys all the way through SE Virginia and all the way back into Texas.

...Alex Lamers...

 

[Jeff Wear]

without question I'd target somewhere around Abilene since that's the only place in the risk area with the combination of a good road network, few trees, and fairly flat terrain.

 

[David Drummond]

Squall line/derecho from hell maybe?

 

[Jared Mysko]

I think I would head to the northern mountains, depends on the day 2 and day 3... then dig a deep hole and climb in and wait for a few weeks!

Jared

 

[Brandon Clement]

1. After this years outlooks all it would take is a good canadian cold front.
2. A drunk forecaster in Norman.
3. A Chaser convention in Hallem.
4. A really strong early November Low about (960) digging quickly through north texas with an exagerated warm front sagging from NC to Texas/Arkansas border with a category five hurricane in the central gulf and another about to hit Georgia/Florida border with a dryline moving quickly from Abilene all the way into the east La.
5. A dream a stormchaser has.

I think we are officially bored. Thanks Dan for the quick relief.

 

[Dan Robinson]

My own thoughts were a long stationary front draped across the northern extremes of the risk area, with the front progged to begin moving southward as the day progressed. Then, the boundary would interact with landfalling circulations of one or two weak, and almost dissipated, tropical systems in the Gulf and another in the Atlantic, with plenty of breaks in cloud cover to allow significant insolation in the high-shear environment.

As far as where to chase, I had this dream while in the Plains, so I'd have to go with the central Texas region for convenience/terrain if I was there. If I was home in WV, the coastal Plain of NC from RDU eastward would be my choice.

 

[Bobby Eddins]

This was the morning outlook 65 million years ago. Just before the big asteroid hit :wink:

 

[brody_clifton]

This makes me wonder what a modern day outlook for 040374-1200 thru 040474-1200 would look like. I bet something similar in area if you cut off that risk at northern FL.

 

[Scott Taylor]

You did of course get permission from the SPC to use their graphics... right?

(heh, couldn't resist)