Joe Bastardi's Winter 2010-2011 Outlook

[Mark Ellinwood]

His theory doesn't incorporate LN, just the 60 day recurring cycle.

No doubt the Nina has an influence on his Oct 1 - Nov 10 pattern theory... Nina is what helps set up that long-wave pattern. Granted, one could argue that everything has its own part.

For a verification, here's his winter 2008-09 forecast:
http://www.lrcweather.com/index.php...orecast-2008-2009&catid=18:forecast&Itemid=33

I'm finding it difficult to find past winter's verifications on the site.

 

[Jeff House]

LRC has verified pretty well since 2005-2006, before which I did not follow it. In 05-06 LRC was an outlier as well, and verified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This year I'm totally different than the LRC; I'm more like Bastardi. Only issue is if the NAO keeps trying to go negative; then, the core of the warmth may well be in Texas instead of the Southeast. Eastern skiers may like the LRC forecast, but I’m on the sidelines for now. I give LRC respect, so I’m looking forward to seeing how it goes this winter. For now, sticking with my forecast which is similar to Bastardi, but cooler in the mid-Atlantic and Carolinas. Basically, for east of the Appalachians, I move the battle zone south; think Civil War.