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Hurricane Humberto

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Nice organization, no doubt a tropical storm... it's compact enough that it could undergo surprisingly quick strengthening before it gets to Galveston... maybe a 60-70mph tropical storm...and a low probability shot at even brief cat1 hurricane status... wouldn't surprise me given the already well-established banding/organization.
 
I just said that to my forecaster. Apolorizing for making an Humberto page, and this thing blew up and took it. We'll have Ingrid by tonight, and we'll probably have a new depression in a day or two near the Cape Verde Islands.
 
I'm sure that this will be a hurricane by landfall, we need it for the statistics ;)

Look for a "Tropical Storm Humberto strengthens to a hurricane just before landfall" dispatch...
 
Some of the models have this storm making landfall, curving to the NE then down to the south through Loiusiana and back into the gulf. Anyone think this is possible?

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Some of the models have this storm making landfall, curving to the NE then down to the south through Loiusiana and back into the gulf. Anyone think this is possible?

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I'll just say, IVAN. Highly unlikely, but hey, it's weather, anything is possible. At least some beuatiful rainfall totals are likely over the SE
 
Unbelievable compactness! Level II velocity data from KHGX shows 70-80 knots at 0.5° (about 2700 feet ARL) coming into High Island at this time... really compact tropical systems like this always fascinate me.
 
Man, I look away for a couple of days and suddenly we have this landfalling hurricane! :eek::D

Heck, maybe I'd of played with this one since it's so close. Anyone planning on trying to get some day time tornadoes tomorrow over LA or nearby (wherever it goes)? Doubt I'll go out. I need to do some fixup work on my notebook computer USB port and Threatnet. Guess I better do that before Fall season. Plus, I'm thinking of going out dove hunting this weekend and leaving tomorrow.
 
I was this close to pulling the trigger to ride over to SE TX at about 2pm this afternoon. I'm looking at only a 5ish hour drive from Mobile.

Really wish i had now. What an incredible little storm. i have an early class but I'm sure glad I stayed up and watched it. I love how it finally got a full eyewall once it got onland there just east of High Island, TX.

Very nice group of discrete cells to the east of the outter convective band. SPC has that taken care of though.

I wonder what the folks in Port Authur that went to bed at 8pm are thinking about this...:D
 
Steve Lyons on TWC is going to have a hard time getting his foot out of his mouth.

At 9pm last night he was basically laughing at Humberto. He said the eye was filling, dry air was eroding the back side of this storm and it had NO chance of strengthening. Despite the fact it had an excellent radar presentation, it popped up from a batch of storms less than 12 hours prior and it was in a low shear environment.
 
LOL, OOPS! My aunt live near DeRidder, LA I'm gettin ready to call her and see what's going on. Also, one of my former forecasters got outta the Navy and lives in Leesville, LA and I'll see that too.
 
OK, I was mostly joking on in my post #5 of this thread at 1:51pm yesterday... I said:

"I'm sure that this will be a hurricane by landfall, we need it for the statistics ;)

Look for a "Tropical Storm Humberto strengthens to a hurricane just before landfall" dispatch..."

Then at the 1:15am update today:

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HUMBERTO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
1215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

...HUMBERTO BECOMES A HURRICANE JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COVER SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF CENTER...
 
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