Dangerous Hurricane Patricia poised to hit Mexico

What a monster.... I would love to be able to fly in the Hurricane Hunters aircraft and get a look at this thing. It'll be sad to see such a beauty die once she makes landfall, not to mention the devastation it is going to cause once it hits.
 
odds are it weekens some before landfall. If theres a SOLID steel reinforced concrete building to hide in/behind above say 25 feet MSL, I think he can pull it off. While scary, theres also a powerful allure to chasing one of the all time storms.
 
MClarkson said:
odds are it weekens some before landfall. If theres a SOLID steel reinforced concrete building to hide in/behind above say 25 feet MSL, I think he can pull it off. While scary, theres also a powerful allure to chasing one of the all time storms.
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Yes, if it undergoes an eyewall replacement cycle like odile did. He scouted places in Perula, La Fortuna and San Mateo and couldn't find any substantial buildings yet. However, Perula's going to get inundated with storm surge, possibly La Fortuna too. San Mateo's buildings are poorly constructed based on what I saw from StreetView.
 
Thats rough. You'll want a few too... a little eyewall like this, a little jog, without a backup or 2 he could be completely missed. Maybe east a bit, with this latest wobble?
 
I heard when it makes landfall winds are going to be around 150 MPH. I am watching a stream of a beach right now and the waves are intense and it isn't even here yet.
 
Hate to miss this one but I'm not a fan of late afternoon into night-falling hurricanes as there is little in the way of visual opportunities. The other problem is finding a survivable location. With such a compact eye wall, it would be a real challenge to remain in the onshore wind flow. The biggest potential loss of life will likely be flooding and mudslides as it moves inland.
 
Yes, this is on the extreme end of the scale of hurricane intercepts: a Cat 5 in a generally poor infrastructure area with corrupt police and drug cartels. The worst part of that will be the aftermath.

I'd want to just buy an old pickup towing a steel reinforced concrete saferoom on a trailer, deploy it for the eyewall, then have a chartered helicopter just swoop in and pick me up with a rope ladder afterward. I wouldn't want to stay long.
 
I would not be surprised to see some weird and "unplanned for" damage, possibly causing some serious issues. For example, during Hurricane Katrina in Biloxi, casino barges and ships were carried inland and plowed into buildings. I have not been in that region for many years, but I do recall some major high rise buildings set right on the beach. Hopefully, they completely evacuated those buildings. My understanding is that some hotels could not be evacuated so they are requiring guests to stay in their rooms, or maybe even more disturbing, moved them into the mountains. There could easily be 20 inches+ of rain hitting the mountains creating insane floods and mudslides.
 
Warren Faidley said:
I would not be surprised to see some weird and "unplanned for" damage, possibly causing some serious issues. For example, during Hurricane Katrina in Biloxi, casino barges and ships were carried inland and plowed into buildings. I have not been in that region for many years, but I do recall some major high rise buildings set right on the beach. Hopefully, they completely evacuated those buildings. My understanding is that some hotels could not be evacuated so they are requiring guests to stay in their rooms, or maybe even more disturbing, moved them into the mountains. There could easily be 20 inches+ of rain hitting the mountains creating insane floods and mudslides.
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I was thinking about that too Warren. Sometimes the hurricane may not be the most dangerous part about an area (which is not the case this time). At least josh and erik aren't in sinaloa.
 
Beautiful outflow yesterday with high clouds blowing out all the way to the upper mid Gulf coast.
 
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