Curiosity About Today

[Sam Kennedy]

I have been looking at some soundings for Europe and it looks similar to the setup last week when there were a couple of storms, but this time it is a lot more intense!

Here are some of the sounding values:
LI:2.81 (moderate)
CAPE:0
CINH: --
850-600 Lapse Rate: 19.14 (severe)
LCL: 884.53 (severe)
Total Totals: 56.9 (severe)

Does this setup look good for thunderstorms? Because according to the colour coding on the soundings it is saying widespread/severe thunderstorms.

http://severeweather.ch/app/hpbo/img/snd/skewt_03238_20081129_00z.gif

The 1200z radiosonde went up an hour ago so I will check that and see if I will be getting any more storms, its been months!

 

[rdale]

The LI is positive and the CAPE is 0, so nothing would point to it if you just use those parameters. But as we've mentioned, there is MUCH more to forecasting storms than reading a few indices off of a sounding. Remember to read those links we've been posting - I think you'll see that they tell you more than "read the sounding and forecast based on lifted index"

 

[Simon Timm]

It looks like a good setup for regular thunderstorms(any cape value zero and above has the potential for thunderstorms), but I really don't think anything that intense will develop. I have been wrong plenty of times, however.

 

[rdale]

There is no CAPE and the LI is positive - those are not good setups for storms...