Grady Joslin
EF0
Eh I am a little confused (still new at the forecasting bit). I keep seeing the term GFS model thrown around along with 500mb. I did some searching on google to find more about these to understand it a little better. While I think I got the right idea of how many use it on here to forecast where severe weather break out, I myself feel like I am not sure if I am reading it right. I acutally feel like I am jumping in without learning how to swim first.
Take this for example, 6.5 days from now, I look at http://weather.unisys.com . I see that on the 500mb map under GFSx, that looks like western Indiana is in red. The way I look at it, is that could be a possible day for severe weather or at lest a strong storm.
But I feel like I am missing more then just knowing that a storm is going to hit that area that day.
So my question is... am I trying to read too much into it or I am off in what I am reading? I feel as if I don't understand GFS models that well. I've been looking on Google for more information but I keep running into actual data rather then a definition what I want to figure out. I was wondering if you guys could point me in the right direction or help clear this up a little bit. Thank you for any information you can throw at me. It helps
Take this for example, 6.5 days from now, I look at http://weather.unisys.com . I see that on the 500mb map under GFSx, that looks like western Indiana is in red. The way I look at it, is that could be a possible day for severe weather or at lest a strong storm.

But I feel like I am missing more then just knowing that a storm is going to hit that area that day.
So my question is... am I trying to read too much into it or I am off in what I am reading? I feel as if I don't understand GFS models that well. I've been looking on Google for more information but I keep running into actual data rather then a definition what I want to figure out. I was wondering if you guys could point me in the right direction or help clear this up a little bit. Thank you for any information you can throw at me. It helps
