• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

CAT3+ Cape Verdi Hurricane to form soon

Joined
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Messages
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Location
Leicester, England
Surprised that there has been no mention of this??
It is late August (bang on time) and most Global models are in agrement and are adiment that a hurricane will form down by the Cape virdi islands and track NNW, model forcasts then suggest that this will transform into a Majour CAT3+– don’t discount this as the shear does seem to be quite relaxed so who know?
Models show this storm to then recurve out to sea with out being a threat to land.
*HOWEVER* I have seen this many times before I would not be surprised by a more south track at this time of year.
GFS link - http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2010081906&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
 
I'm sure a tropical storm will develop and intensify slowly over the weekend into early next week. But there's a ton of dry air covering the central Atlantic, along with some patchy African dust, so it might be an uphill battle to get this thing beyond a minimal hurricane.

But, I see what you're saying..all global models are quite enthusiastic to bring this system to major 'cane status. If things play out just right, we could have a sizeable hurricane by mid or late next week passing north of the Windward Islands, heading northwest, out to sea.
 
NHC have declared Invest 95L for this area...

Here is the text...

2. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD
 
TD 6 forms... Hurricane in 48 hrs time...

48HR VT 23/1800Z 14.4N 41.4W 65 KT
72HR VT 24/1800Z 17.5N 47.5W 85 KT
96HR VT 25/1800Z 21.0N 52.0W 95 KT
120HR VT 26/1800Z 24.5N 55.5W 95 KT
 
Well, Danielle came to near category 3 status, then quickly weakened to a minimal hurricane. The dry air has done it's dirty work, but that was some impressive rapid strengthening overnight before the dry air got entrained into the center. Quite an interesting situation there for a while. It's amazing what good tropical organization over warm waters can do in a matter of hours.
 
NHC have declared Invest 95L for this area...

Here is the text...

2. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD
Stuart, I've been trying to find info on Invests on the NHC site but I seem to be missing it. Can you point me to the location on the site where you found this info? Thanks!
 
The blurbs for Invests are the text from the Tropical Weather Outlook. It's also the same as the text when you mouse over the map on the main NHC site.
 
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