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6/5/08 NOW: KS/NE/OK

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PDS Watch #462 in effect until 8pm...storms firing on the west boundary of the watch now, in the Greensburg vicinity. Predicted motion, 240@40. CU has been building on the front for the past couple of hours.
 
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Storms firing in the Great Bend area in central KS. Looking linear so far. Only time will tell if they break up and become discrete supercells or if they all congeal into one big nasty squall line.

Tornado threat is obviously going to be highest with any tail-end charlie or discrete storm.
 
Oklahoma development conitnues. Storm just to the east of Buffalo in Harper County, and a new one going up east of Arnett on the Ellis / Woodward County line. Everything moving north at about Mach 2.

SPC new MCD mentioning additional TOR Watch further along the dryline through NW TX. TCu development continues all along the dryline through the Southern TX Panhandle.
 
Tornado watch now issued for SW OK. into parts of NW TX. Storms are expected to develop along dryline in the next few hours. Although it doesn't look as good as yesterday, my initial target of Vernon,Tx might still pay off.
 
Phillip Hurlbut and I are currently getting some data at the Holiday Inn Express on the west side of Enid and observing rapidly towering cu to our west and northwest. Cells are quickly developing in that vicinity. We plan on taking a break here and waiting to choose our cell for the day.
 
Not much in western Oklahoma at the moment, but looking at the 19Z sounding from OUN the boundary layer has mixed deeply, which will likely promote rapid upscale growth if storms do indeed approach the metro area. The strongest mid-level forcing is beginning to overspread the northern edge of the dryline now (Tucumcari profiler samples nearly 100 knots of 0-6 kilometer shear!), but I fear that because the orientation of the dryline is nearly parallel to the shear vector, the only hope for sustained discrete activity is from a splitting cell.
 
Several areas of convection in Western Oklahoma right now. Strongest batch is north of Sayre in Beckham County moving into Roger Mills County. Several other cells working to survive all along the dryline now in W OK. Surface winds really don't begin to back much until US 281 to US 183. And before I hit submit, the core on the Beckham/Roger Mills County storm just increased a ton.
 
SW OK continues to develop. A couple cells stay out of the main line that has formed. Got a kick out of this warning from OUN...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DELHI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

Have fun chasing this stuff for those out there. LOL
 
SW OK continues to develop. A couple cells stay out of the main line that has formed. Got a kick out of this warning from OUN...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DELHI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

Have fun chasing this stuff for those out there. LOL

LOL! What chasing? It's impossible. Every storm in OK is rolling 60-70 mph! :eek:
 
About all you could hope for with this setup is to setup with a good East/West option, and watch the storms roll by you as the overall line approaches. Things are really becoming Linear across the board.
 
Jay Antle and I are near Marion, Kansas ... these things are moving at light speed and pretty much impossible to keep up with. Have nevertheless seen some interesting features at times. We intercepted the Clay Center storm as it moved west of Salina, and noted a good wall cloud before it became obscured by downdraft. Great shelf cloud on that storm.
 
from KAKE.com, which is streaming live severe wx coverage.

Seems that the circus is in WaKeeney, KS. They had a bad storm and the elephants got spooked and apparently, the elephants are at large, right now. So if you're chasing around WaKeeney, you might just keep an eye out for stray elephants.
 
I heard about the elephants from Chris Whitehead...hilarious. Back to topic...

Oklahoma looks like the tornado potential should start increasing here in an hour or two. Better conditions still exist from about US-281 to the east. Some slight backing of winds from Enid to Kingfisher, down through Caddo County to Lawton and back to Waurika or thereabouts.

The other side of the story today being the wind. Every big gust seems to bring a tree branch flying through the backyard.
 
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TVS showing 133 knts on this cell, heading generally toward Manhattan, KS.
 
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