6/18/6 NOW: OK / KS

[MatthewCarman]

Severe Thunderstorm warning for eastern beaver county oklahoma. Radar is showing DBZ of 65-70 and noaa says Golfball size hail and 60+ winds are possible. Storm is looking nice on radar. There was several storms but it looks like they have all combined into one big storm. Is anyone chasing this storm? Also what are the chances this storm could produce a tornado in the futer? SPC didnt have much of a risk for tornadoes in that area today.

EDIT: Storm looks like linear crap now so forget my tornado question.

 

[Mike Johnston]

What in the world is going on with this isolated storm? Convective parameters, with the exception of 0-3km helicity, hardly even tip the scale towards severe. No "significant hail parameter" indicated at all, yet reflectivities indicate VIL up to 70 and 3.5" hail, with dbz now up to 75. Also, from time to time, very strong base velocities at all tilts indicated out of both the Dodge City and Vance AFB sites. Also, interesting that radar-estimated storm rain totals indicate 5 inches.

 

[HAltschule]

Also, interesting that radar-estimated storm rain totals indicate 5 inches.
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Keep in mind that rainfall totals on Doppler radar images are very likely hail contaminated. So, it is very likely that the 5" of rain it is indicating was also including reflectivities of the very large hail that was falling too...not just the rain.