Well, I will be taking the same approach as Mike Peregrine for today's setup. With no distinct area of surface convergence to justify driving to a more remote target, I like the chances around my home area as good as any on this nice Saturday afternoon. Surface dewpoint observations in E Central and NE KS are running a few degrees higher than forecast under clear skies this morning. We had showers for a few hours in the area late yesterday afternoon - enough to suspect a contribution from evaporation. I like the gradient of cold air aloft and some decent helicity. Isolated cumulus that sprang up this morning had a very crisp visual edge, hopefully a harbinger of things to come. Also, current analysis shows 9-11km storm relative winds 70-80 kts - while equilibrium level will have to rise substantially this afternoon to take advantage, nice to know it is there. While LCL's are forecast in the 1,400 m range in E Central KS by 00z, the LFC is forecast only a couple hundred meters higher. I guess surface lifting mechanism is probably the biggest question mark, but since I'm taking no big bets on driving to a distant target, I'll go about other activities in the meantime and see what the day has to offer.
