4-7-08 NOW: OK/TX

[Jonathan Whitehead]

Anyone still sitting quietly up north?

We are. Rather not go after a storm thats hugging the Red River and at this point wed have to core punch. Im not the only I know thats still hanging north however. Im still curious to see what this congested area of Cu is going to do just west of Lawton to Hobart. SPC put out an MD earlier for it. So still wait and see game. Have noticed a few blips on FDR in western Comanche, northern Tillman but nothing significant as of yet.

 

[Tony Laubach]

We are. Rather not go after a storm thats hugging the Red River and at this point wed have to core punch. Im not the only I know thats still hanging north however. Im still curious to see what this congested area of Cu is going to do just west of Lawton to Hobart. SPC put out an MD earlier for it. So still wait and see game. Have noticed a few blips on FDR in western Comanche, northern Tillman but nothing significant as of yet.

You're a tough cookie... I'd be sitting in Wichita Falls waiting for it to come through and make sense of the highway system down there...

Definitely looks like the storm is cycling... do see the blip north of there, so hopefully you'll get your reward for being patient. You remind me of the Seymour day in April last year with the early storm that dropped the wedge. We bit and raced up to get it and fortunately it paid off. Not sure I would've been able to sit and let it go like you're doing now.

 

[Josh Richardson]

We are also trying to brave it up north, just not too many options at this point for the Wichita Falls storm from our northern vantage point. Still just hanging out near Chattanooga.

 

[AndrewLee]

Is it me or does the Wichita Falls storm look like it might be splitting?

 

[Brandon Goforth]

I stayed north as well. I'm sitting in Cache, OK right now hoping that something fires. Possibly a mistake on my part for not going south, but I didn't feel like messing with the river and north Wichita Falls. I'm hoping that one of these towers above me will explode, and it just may be happening...hopefully.

 

[Adam Atkins]

Is it me or does the Wichita Falls storm look like it might be splitting?

What are you looking at to indicate it's splitting? From radar it looks like dog-@#%! and the cams show a high-based, unorganized storm. My guess is there's still capping east of the richer theta-E near the dryline and the storm is getting choked off.

 

[William Reid]

It's difficult for me to foresee a strong, long-lived tornado with this beast given the dew points only from 56F-59F to its east and southeast. But, of course, stranger things have happened.

It couldn't pull it off (big-time) back near Electra, apparently, and I don't see better tornado-making conditions up the road in the next couple of hours.

Good luck to those on the beast!

Bill Reid

 

[Brandon Goforth]

I agree, the Wichita Falls storm isn't looking as hot now. Maybe it's a good thing for us northern players. There are a couple of towers that are trying to get going near Indiahoma.

 

[AndrewLee]

Adam - I am using grlevel3...however I am running it under VMWareFusion on my Intel based macbook pro, so I don't get smoothing (hardware/virtualization/directx9 issue) and the radar admittedly is pretty coarse.

Given that - I'll reserve my comments until I have access to better radar imagery.

But I agree that the Whichita Falls storm does seem to be struggling at the moment.

 

[Robin Tanamachi]

If the Wichita Falls storm is splitting, it's having a really tough time of it. I can still see two distinct reflectivity cores trying to break off from one another, however. Latest SPC mesoanalysis shows that the 0-1 km shear is becoming less favorable with time; that may be the culprit.

 

[Billy Griffin]

I am HIGHLY suspicious of the localized outflow boundary the current dying storm may generate! If I were chasing, I would position somewhere around Lawton or Anadarko.

 

[Tony Laubach]

It has fallen apart fast... amazing how quickly things can change. Good call on staying north, but as I've said... not an easy thing to do. Question is will something develop elsewhere in that vicinity. The blip has lost its spunk south of Lawton, but a new blip showing up west of Lawton in last scan, so perhaps that's the next show.

 

[J.B. Dixon]

Things are definitely starting to point to better things to the north over the next hour. Better shear & CAPE, for sure. The WF and any storm just south of it in the warm sector could end up being the show.

A bit off-topic.....the Spotter Network has been fun to watch today, seeing what kinds of decisions people are making. Mickey Ptak & just a couple others have stayed north, and while it took longer than expected it looks like things may finally go. We shall see. It was a tougher day pinpointing a spot to be than I thought it was going to be at Noon time. Just goes to show....

EDIT.....and just as I get excited, the cell west of Lawton goes POOF. Must be OFB interplay. Sadness.

 

[Brandon Goforth]

I'm sitting under the cell passing over Cache and this thing looks horrible, just highly disorganized. Things aren't looking too good up here at the moment, but still hoping for the best......hopefully soon.

 

[Jordan Hartley]

Davids webcam is showing a beautiful tower that is exploding to his NW. Anyone know where this cell is located? Should begin to anvil shortly and just looks awesome.

EDIT* unless the anvil was spread out to the right of the cam? New development to the SW of Wichita Falls.