Darrin Rasberry
Remaining MCS from the ninth is currently taking advantage of the incredible conditions present in Missouri. Howell, Oregon, Shannon, and Texas counties in that state are tornado warned at 8:30 AM, with two separate tornadoes on the ground according to Springfield, MO doppler. The storms are expected to move quickly, moving northeast at 60-75 mph.
Additionally, Little Rock, Arkansas shows the squall line beginning to break, and extreme East Texas is receiving some severe warnings from the semi-isolated parts of this line.
Damaging winds are expected with the current MCS along its SE TX to Missouri extent. Additionally, clear skies according to recent satellite imagery over western Tennessee, as well as likely clearing skies from northern Louisiana through Arkansas as the MCS moves out, should clear the way for adequate convection, and, possibly, enough temperature to aid in breaking the expected strong CAP and form isolated, damaging surfaced-based supercells over the eastern Missouri/western Tennessee area as the day progresses into the early- and mid-afternoon.
EDIT: Shortly after this post, Shereveport, LA radar indicated that one of the aforementioned semi-isolated splinters from the broken squall line crossing into Arkansas from Texas is capable of producing a tornado. Cass and Miller counties are warned, and the storm also possesses a similar fast track of 45 miles an hour. Damaging straight-line winds are also present throughout many portions of this broken line, with some gusts exceeding 70mph in southern Missouri.
Additionally, Little Rock, Arkansas shows the squall line beginning to break, and extreme East Texas is receiving some severe warnings from the semi-isolated parts of this line.
Damaging winds are expected with the current MCS along its SE TX to Missouri extent. Additionally, clear skies according to recent satellite imagery over western Tennessee, as well as likely clearing skies from northern Louisiana through Arkansas as the MCS moves out, should clear the way for adequate convection, and, possibly, enough temperature to aid in breaking the expected strong CAP and form isolated, damaging surfaced-based supercells over the eastern Missouri/western Tennessee area as the day progresses into the early- and mid-afternoon.
EDIT: Shortly after this post, Shereveport, LA radar indicated that one of the aforementioned semi-isolated splinters from the broken squall line crossing into Arkansas from Texas is capable of producing a tornado. Cass and Miller counties are warned, and the storm also possesses a similar fast track of 45 miles an hour. Damaging straight-line winds are also present throughout many portions of this broken line, with some gusts exceeding 70mph in southern Missouri.
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