2026-04-24-27 EVENT: OK/TX/AR/LA/MS/MO/KS

[Randy Zipser]

Starting with a look back at the Braman/Blackwell, OK tornado on 2026-04-23, here are the severe weather outlooks from Fox Weather and AccuWeather for what's predicted to be ahead through today and this weekend into early next week:

Dangerous severe weather to reignite over more than 55M across the Plains and the South | Watch

Congrats to all chasers who scored big yesterday! The upper-air/synoptic pattern will remain very favorable over the Arklatex and Mid-South early in the period and shift eastward and northward along the Mississippi River Valley early next week, so much chasing opportunity still lies ahead, although the more forested terrain might make for less spectacular video than yesterday. Good luck and success!

 

[Nathaniel P]

Looking at the 18Z HRRR, south-central OK looks like it might be in for a wild ride. My last two chases I got burned by thinking I knew better than some silly model and picked cells purely off of vibes, and each time missed out on a tornado that aligned closely with HRRR helicity swaths. Knowing that, I'm particularly interested in seeing if this significant updraft helicity swath just outside Sulpher persists overnight.

 

[Dan Robinson]

Saturday-Sunday: Classic no-brainer Plains chase days. Capping may be a concern, but there are enough model signals for storms that there will be tornadoes *somewhere*. Dryline, triple point, warm front are all players. I can't chase due to copyright infringement-imposed reduction in operations.

Monday: Classic/volatile Midwest trough ejection event that likely will fall apart morning-of due to early day storms and clouds (too much forcing). If we wake up with a pristine warm sector though, watch out.

 

[Jamie H]

A Saturday moderate risk, in OK, in the radar black hole? Good luck with the zoo everyone!

 

[Nathaniel P]

Oh wow...
I'm heading down to Durant in a bit to hang out until initiation.
The spc mod risk overlaps pretty strongly with the Arbuckle and Ouachita "mountains" (or whatever passes for mountains in Oklahoma) so expect uneven terrain, dense forests, broken lines-of-sight, and an increased risk of flash flooding. Good luck everyone and be safe!