After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.
I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.
For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.
From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.
Sincerely, Jeff D.
I have a hard time seeing through all that--especially the "numerous subtle impulses". A failure to appreciate nuance, perhaps.The main 500mb speed max is shown weakening as it approaches the Plains on Monday, with forcing becoming hodgepodge/nebulous as it overspreads the warm sector. I'm assuming that as a result of this, models seem to show numerous subtle impulses with alternating areas of lift that each fire storms/precip early in the day from Oklahoma/Texas through the Ohio Valley. That is in contrast to a nice, clean left exit region with an intact speed max.
Your remarks about the environment in S-OK/N-TX remind me that the "double-negative is not the same as the affirmative": "Not a lot to *not* like about the environment" falls short of saying, "There's a lot to like about the environment."I would favor the tail-end cell currently shown by most models somewhere in southern OK/ north TX for the best ambient low-level shear and most-uncontaminated-from-early-precip air mass. There's not a lot to *not* like abount the environment down there, especially the portrayal of the dryline farther west. With the warm front in my backyard, I'll likely be staying up here - but the amount of early-day storms and precip along the boundary here shown all day is concerning.
If the trend of widespread junkvection up here continues, I might consider a trip to SW/southern OK. I like the general configuration/juxtaposition of parameters there, and the latest model runs in more agreement on firing supercells on the dryline.
When I looked at the 500mb forecast winds this morning (3/31) and saw the 70kt isotach break up in the exit region, I kinda glossed over it--really did not know how literally to take the forecast for that particular feature, especially some 36 hours out. (Sounds like it can be taken literally.) Thanks!Sorry, that's why I don't work for the SPC![]()
With an intact jet max, there should be a uniform/predictable area of lift arriving in the target area and firing *one* round of storms. What's shown now is the jet max weakening into multiple smaller/chaotic waves that each trigger convection and precipitation, each followed by an area of subsidence - all much harder to predict, harder to nail down timing/location, and more likely to ruin a setup altogether with clouds and early storms. Someone correct me if that's gobbledygook.
The Plains dryline portion of yesterday's event was initially being downplayed by models and the SPC in favor of the warm front, but it doesn't look all that bad now.