2021-05-26 REPORTS: NE/KS/OK/TX

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Little bit of an underwhelming chase yesterday but still came away with some good stuff at the last minute. I targeted the nose of the moisture plume in Western Kansas near Scott City around mid-day. I don't think this was the actual dry line but instead a pre-frontal confluence feature as obs showed the actual dry line back in Colorado (90s over 20s). We sat there through mid-day while large tornadoes occurred around lunch-time to our east near Hays (wtf?). We coulda made that storm, but I didn't want to get out of our position on that bulge in Western Kansas and honestly most of the chase community was there. We followed a blip from Leoit northward where it eventually died and then shot north after the storm in SW Nebraska arriving around 6:30pm. Saw a distant view of a possible tornado, but I had no service and couldn't see radar so I've no idea if it was. It was SE of McCook, NE.

Dropped back into Kansas and played several supercells near sunset that were ingesting air in the low 60s, but one managed to spit out a bird-fart tornado S of Hill City, KS shortly after 9pm that we pretty much drove through. It was super weak though....and I wouldn't believe it was a tornado except several notable chasers had reported it including Jeff P. Overall a disappointing chase, but I've had worse. You can't win if you don't play.

The only thing I'd done differently is gone after those mid-day storms near Hays, but then again I didn't know the evening show would be pretty much non-existent lol. Here are some pics:

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Storm near McCook, NE looking north.

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Long lived supercell in Southwest Nebraska with wall cloud and pretty green foreground

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Suspicious area SE of McCook, NE around 6:30pm. I didn't have radar for a long time, so no idea if this was a tornado, but the meso that came out of it crossed in front of me and was violently rotating. I thought we were about to get a huge tornado there for a bit.

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Supercell thunderstorm in North Central Kansas at sunset

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Another supercell thunderstorm near Lenora, KS at sunset

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Supercell coming over me near Lenora, KS. I didn't get photos of the Hill City storm but I did get about 20 minutes of tripoded video of a large wall cloud SE of Hill City with spiraling rain curtains and some suspicious looking activity under it around 9:30pm. Will have to view that later. Onward and southward...
 
It looked like the majority of us were expecting something big from Colby to Garden City, and unfortunately that didn't pan out. I sat in Scott City for hours waiting, and then went after the storm that popped up in Leoti. Immediately didn't like the look of it, and while others stayed with/south of it, I actually went ahead up to Russell Springs to get north of it. By the time I got up to Oakley, it was dying, and there were several little junky cells forming. At this point I thought about trying to make it up to the tornadic cell in Nebraska, but figured it was too late. Saw one cell I thought might have a chance, and caught up to it near Hoxie, KS, but it was high based, and didn't look promising. I then decided I WOULD try to race north to make it to that Nebraska cell, thinking maybe as the LLJ picked up toward sunset it could squeeze out one more tornado. On the way, however, it seemed to cross the boundary and began dissipating.

The storm I had just passed went tornado warned, so I dropped south to Lenora. When I got a view of it, it was clearly still elevated. But it was pretty, so I took some pictures, then started to drop south as junky development all around looked like it would choke it off.

Then suddenly all of these cells exploded right around sunset! So I hung around just south of Lenora snapping pics of this same cell as it gained strength. It went severe warned again, but there was never anything tornadic. As it got dark, I dropped further south to Hill City to keep an eye on the approaching cell, which displayed some signs of rotation on radar, but not that I could tell visually. Called it a night after that storm passed.DSC_7520 small.jpg
 
I did not feel strong about the southern target down south of Colby the night before, based upon multiple CAMs being schizophrenic with initiation, and no model agreement on the short wave timing or available shear. Still, morning of I hedged my bets for two options north and south and one back west, and drove to Idalia, CO. From there I could either wait for the HRRR wishcast storm allegedly later coming east from Brush area if it happend, jump anything that came up over Goodland to the panhandle, etc. If I really had to, if KS further south went off big perhaps I could make it to a storm down there, especially if initiation went north to south as expected. I practically never broadcast or view spotter network so am never really influenced by how many people are betting on one target or another; I tend to bust or succeed in a vaccum of my own thinking. Still I was surprised how few chasers seemed to be out in NE as it felt like the data available by mid afternoon supported that choice best.

While in Idalia, I checked out surface observations again. There was a markedly better environment in the NE panhandle by 2PM than south into KS or west in far eastern CO. Colorado was covered by intermittent stratus and large T-Td spreads. It started to feel certain to me that KS was not going to initiate substantially for a long while if at all, and CO. would not initiate anything robust as suggested by CAMs. The timing/position of the low moving from WY, as well as the shortwave seemed off from popular forecasts as well.

RAP showed intense moisture convergence pooled right about St. Francis and to thw SW, with vis. sattellite pointing the CU field agitation on that same axis, SW to NE. So now, with enough info collected to convince myself of my final target, I prepared to leave Idalia for St. Francis. Foolishly I had not stopped for fuel since Denver and took the scenic route on 36, so I had to decide to start the chase on half tank in an area with bad roads and fuel options, or jog up to Wray and back hoping to beat initiation. I took the chance to fuel at Wray, noting a tiny messy cell over the Goodland radar just as I reached the gas station (I have got to stop forgetting how bad radar visibility is when storms cross that area)

As soon as I came out of the gas station I could see that a classic rotating tower had exploded out of that tiny cell and I started heading to it ASAP direct from Wray. Thankfully the storm was not going too fast for once. I missed out on about 10-15 minutes of tornado on the ground, but at least caught up and enjoyed a good 20-25 minutes. Road options were bad, and power lines blocked 61, which I would have been ahead of if not for the fuel stop. Had some harrowing mud road sliding for a couple miles before back to the pavement.

For me this was the best chase in the last two years. I am adequate selecting the right targets but with coming from other commitments or fatigue, am too often slightly late. Being early will be something to improve with better prep and discipline in the future; in years past I seemed to be better about this. Anyway, happy with the views I got, if a bit further back than desired. Also glad that as far as I know, no serious injuries or damage occurred from this storm.

View as I rolled up on the storm north of Binkelman. The tornado was in a beatiful thick rope / trunk shape before going back to stove pipe.
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Stove pipe phase that lasted a good 8-10 minutes
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Stove pipe went slight multiple vortice after this shot, and then roped out.
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Decent hail, probably ten minutes after it fell, melting quick.
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Chase route with rough tornado path. I didn't truly catch up to the storm until coming out of Benkelman on 61. Once forced onto the dirt by the downed power pole, since I was solo, there was no place to stop without getting stuck and I wasn't running GoPros this day. As such I missed photographing the anemic ropeout with partial rainbow; no tornainbow for me. The dirt was awful, like driving on grease or driving a boat with no rudder, but it was that or chase over. All in all, this day made my season.
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5-26-2021 north of Benkelman, NE. These are quick edits.
Storm went from a little bit of thunder and lightning with a 30K top to a rotating behemoth at 50K top in just 10-15 minutes and was unofficially on the ground around 20 minutes.
This is one of three tornadoes spotted one after the other.
I watched it snap off many power poles both along the road and to my west.
I have some great multi-vortex video I'll try and upload.1.jpg2.jpg3.jpg4.jpg5.jpg6.jpg7.jpg
 
Like a hundred other chasers, I hung out in Scott City and went for the Leoti storm. It seemed like a good storm for 10 or 15 minutes but I eventually left it for the Nebraska storm. I got there just as it was losing the tornado warning, but was able to cut south to a tornado warned storm near Lenora. This beauty was right behind it, and was able to maintain its identity long enough for several chasers to get some structure shots.
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I have now completed my write-up of my chase in the far northern Texas Panhandle on this day. Turns out I got two tornadoes, the one I posted the picture of above, and another that caused minor damage in Perryton. Although I was looking right at it, I did not realize this was a tornado, because the condensation funnel was largely hidden by the wall cloud and surrounding scud - although I did at one point think there was a funnel in there and said so on the video - but the condensation did not reach to the ground or even much below the admittedly rather low wall cloud, so I did not think tornado at the time.. But reviewing my video after the NWS posted its Public Information Statement on the tornado's damage path, I can see a couple times when the condensation funnel does seem to be pretty visible, as in this one:

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Just to the left of center, you can see what I believe is the funnel emerging from the base of the parent cloud at the top of the wall cloud, extending downward in an S-curve. This is about the most unobstructed view I got; much of the rest of the time the view was largely obscured by surrounding clouds. So I got two tornadoes, even though I was not very sure about the second one at the time. Also some nice video of dust being lofted in the air by intense RFD winds. My full chase report, with more than a dozen pictures and three video clips, can be seen at:

www.johnefarley.com/chase52621.htm
 
This was supposed to be the "big day" of the 2021 season in the Plains so far, with the SPC outlining a moderate risk and 15% hatched tornado threat area centered on northwestern Kansas. It would also apparently be my final one of Trip #3, as models showed the following days being lackluster on the Plains - and storms in the Midwest that could be worth shooting at home. This day's setup featured the classic dryline from Nebraska to the Texas panhandle, with a warm front located generally along I-70 in the morning. Just after noon, storms began firing on this boundary near WaKeeney.

Since it was so early and the dryline storms were not expected to initiate for several hours, I decided to follow this storm for a while to see if it could take advantage of the low-level vorticity on the boundary. I saw this midlevel funnel spinning in the place of a dissipated updraft on the western side of the storm south of Ellis.

The storm began intensifying rapidly as it approached Hays. Westbound I-70 was blocked in several places from drivers seeking shelter from the hail, but thankfully I did not encounter any of those roadblocks eastbound. I exited at Hays ahead of the storm to find an intense supercell updraft in progress southwest of town. 2-inch hailstones were falling miles ahead of the updraft. RFD carved into the base, but quickly became rain wrapped.

I stairstepped on the dry gravel/dirt roads south of Hays until a large RFD surge swept east overhead. I stopped just east of Highway 183 and looked to the north to see what appeared to be a tornado under a blocky lowering. But, contrast was poor and I could not make a visual nor video confirmation that this was the tornado seen by others near this location (so I won't be counting it).

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Continuing east to stay with the storm, I soon discovered that I had driven into a "road trap" where all of the east and south roads were dead-ends. This is because I was zoomed into the GPS map too far to see the river that meandered into my intended path southeast. I was forced to backtrack 6 miles back to Highway 183. During this backtrack west, I witnessed the most bizarre tornado I've seen. It came from this feature located deep in the RFD of the supercell (circled in red):

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It spun this tornado down with condensation to the ground, lasting about 10-15 seconds:

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The best explanation I can offer is that this was a very persistent occluded meso - long cut off from any updraft or inflow - that was able to sustain and even intensify within the strong kinematics in the RFD. In the first and second image of this above, you can see what appears to be a secondary RFD gust front in the background that curls into this tornado.

After this, I headed down to Liebenthal for a reliable east road, re-intercepting the storm north of Galatia. I didn't notice at the time, but the rope-out of the Hays tornado may be at far left here - but I'm not confident of that, so again won't be counting it.

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The storm was in a cycling phase, with weak surface flow and lazy cloud movement under the base. But 10 minutes later, this changed suddenly with inflow howling into a rejuvenated base. Positive CG lightning also ramped up considerably. I had no paved roads to continue east - all of the dirt/gravel roads here were saturated mud. I was forced to move north into the storm's core to reach I-70, reintercepting the base on Highway 281 south of Russell. Though all signs pointed to one, no tornado was apparent under an otherwise well-developed wall cloud south of Russell.

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I moved east again to Dorrance to reassess my options. I was going to need to start heading back west to have any chance of intercepting any of the dryline storms: as it was, from my current location, it would be close to 8PM before I'd get to them. I decided to start heading back west via Highway 156 and Highway 4, rather than go back through the storm's core on I-70 and risk further blockages from hail-spooked motorists.

As I moved south out of Wilson and passed by the storm's updraft once more, I saw a rope funnel back in the rainy RFD - another "cloud be" tornado that I won't be counting since I can't confirm it.

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I continued my route around the storm and its hail swath chaos, passing through Hoisington and re-entering I-70 at Russell.

By now, convection was already firing on the dryline in western Kansas, and I knew my staying with the Hays storm for so long might end up costing me further tornadoes from these later storms. But as I continued west, the dryline storms struggled to organize. Complicating matters was that new storms were now firing on the same I-70 boundary that the Hays storm began on, from WaKeeney back to Goodland. The problem with this boundary is that the Hays storm had cooled the air on its north side, meaning that a storm that rooted on it would struggle with buoyancy with some of that cooler air ingested. So with the dryline storms continuing to struggle, I felt the best play was west of Wakeeney, where no storms had tracked along the boundary. I did not expect much considering the problems that Kansas storms were having up to this point.

When I arrived at Wakeeney, storms farther west near Colby were struggling, while storms just northwest of WaKeeney were intensifying. They also had very stable-looking laminar bases, indicating that they had plenty of instability to work with, but not in the low levels (limiting tornado potential). Nonetheless, the storms had impressive structure, and as darkness fell, the lightning and anvil mammatus in the fading twilight became a sight to see. Tiny "micro discharges" in the anvil were continuous, and lightning lit up the updraft and vault regions every couple of seconds.

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I'm not usually a DSLR timelapse person, but one was clearly appropriate with this amazing scene.

After these storms moved off into the night, I decided to begin the trek toward home. I ended the day at Junction City.
 
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