• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2019-03-25 EVENT: AR/TN/MS/MO/IL

MikeD

EF1
Joined
Oct 10, 2017
Messages
86
Location
Miami
Well, everyone’s seen this coming from a long ways away. A weakening trough moving into the mid-south late Sunday night/Monday morning. Forecast models show CAPE around 500 J/kg in southwestern TN and all throughout MS. Hybrid goalpost sounding in AR late Sunday evening. Standard shear of around 50kts at anvil levels but weaker shear at lower levels. Look like neither speed shear nor directional. From three days away, it seems like a minor event (a morning one, I might add) that might not produce anything worthwhile.

Lots more insight tomorrow when NAM Hires comes within range.
 

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The angle of that cold front per the 00Z GFS/Euro/NAM is definitely not encouraging in terms of the shear profiles relative to storm motion. Last night's 00Z NAM run had slightly higher MLCAPE values than I expected draped across a corridor from east-central Texas up through Shrevport on the order of 700-800 j/kg. The temperature profiles in that east Texas/west Louisiana region don't look terrible, albeit a bit saturated, but there's a distinct weakness between 700 mb and 850 mb with the associated VBV that just hinders the shear profiles even further. The area and general issues with the timing/cold front make this one that I don't think I'd consider biting on.
 
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