• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2018-06-16 Event: MN/SD/WI

Dean Baron

Supporter
Joined
Sep 25, 2006
Messages
573
Location
Minneapolis, MN
Saturday looks like it could be an interesting day across the northern plains. The next several days will feature a stationary front oriented roughly southwest to northeast across SD, MN,and into WI with easterly/northeasterly winds north of the front and southeasterly winds south of it. Strong heating and plentiful moisture should also be in place south of the front which will contribute to strong instability along and south of the front.

Helicity values are quite nice along the front, especially in Western MN and eastern SD Saturday evening. Models also show 500 mb winds around 30-35 knots. Not great, but it should be enough with the strong instability that is forecasted.

This is all dependent on morning convection not wrecking havoc on the atmosphere and quick recovery after it moves out in the morning. Assuming that happens, the biggest concern I have is it looks like the cap could potentially win out. The current 12z 3km NAM does break out precip by 00z in western MN and eastern SD. However, it the 12z NAM lid strength remains quite strong in this area so there is conflicting agreement on the likelihood of storms actually firing. Regardless, if a storm can break the cap it will be in a pretty good environment. Storm motions and the orientation of the front look like they will also be favorable with storms moving east/east northeast along the boundary.

June 17th is (at least anecdotally) peak severe season is in Minnesota and it looks like this weekend could fit right into that.

Lastly, here is a forecast sounding for 00z Sunday based on the 12z NAM. Not bad.
 

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