Jeff Piotrowski
EF3
After looking at all of the 0Z model data including 4KM, HRRR high Res data.
The mid 60 DP will rapidly return N/NW into NC/NE TX SE/OK and Southern AR during the day.
The surface low in TX PHNDL deepens moves toward NC/TX by around 6Z.
With 2000- 4000 capes along with 200-600 3KM helicity a Waco/DFW/SPS eastward toward Little Rock south into northern LA.
I expect tornadoic storms to explode over parts of NC/NE TX and SE/OK around 0Z-3Z time frame and track ENE toward the TXK area.
The storms will produce long tracked tornado across NE-TX SE/OK and Southern AR overnight.
I would think Moderate risk will come back to the I-35 corridor based on the new data.
10:14 am update: HRRR & RUC explodes storms NE & S/SE sides of DALLAS by 21Z.
The mid 60 DP will rapidly return N/NW into NC/NE TX SE/OK and Southern AR during the day.
The surface low in TX PHNDL deepens moves toward NC/TX by around 6Z.
With 2000- 4000 capes along with 200-600 3KM helicity a Waco/DFW/SPS eastward toward Little Rock south into northern LA.
I expect tornadoic storms to explode over parts of NC/NE TX and SE/OK around 0Z-3Z time frame and track ENE toward the TXK area.
The storms will produce long tracked tornado across NE-TX SE/OK and Southern AR overnight.
I would think Moderate risk will come back to the I-35 corridor based on the new data.
10:14 am update: HRRR & RUC explodes storms NE & S/SE sides of DALLAS by 21Z.
Last edited by a moderator: