2/7-8, 2010 Southern Plains winter storm

[Chris Carter]

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=oax&storyid=47880&source=0

Omaha is having a historic winter this year too. Not sure how they ever recorded getting below 4 inches and missing that one. Sure never got below 4 inches here. Seems all those other snow depth duration records will be broken. We started snowing Thursday again I think it was and it's been snowing since. Just enough to offset any melting being near 32F. Tacked on another 6-7 I'd guess in this last stretch. Wet stuff that falls straight down for once and sticks to everything. 2-4 forecasted with this upcoming system, followed by cold.

The record straight snow depth of over 1 inch is a whopping 74 straight days here. Most years we're lucky to see a couple straight weeks without it melting. That'll be an impressive thing to break and looks rather likely. Given it will be broken so early yet, the 19th of this month, there is a pretty good chance to completely smash it. Has to be over a foot out there again now. It's crazy you don't have to go far west and they've had bare ground most of the winter. Then remember there was a 7 inch snow this year October 10th! Crazy winter.

Some massive differences for Norfolk's records lol. Thanks to the 1949 blizzard/winter. They'd need to keep an inch or more till April 8th to break that one lol. 122 days compared to Omaha's 74. Couple hours apart, not even that far.

Its seems as if its been pretty quiet the last month and it looks like its going to stay that way for the next 2-3 weeks as it seems the pattern doesn't really change. Storms coming into the west stay south while the Northern Plains sit dry and seasonably cool.

 

[Joe Schaub]

Looks like round three is on the way. I am prepared for this one though...we bought chains for the vehicles yesterday. Living in the boonies, the roads do not get touched for days...and I am tired of missing work.

Unless you are a chef at Hooter's, how can you ever be tired of missing work?

I wasn't surprised we were put under a Winter Storm Watch. I am thinking this storm will be down right nasty. Two day's of snow and lots of wind. Looks like power outages are coming. But of course, where I live power outages happen in the middle of summer with a light breeze.

 

[Andrew Francis]

This storm is looking more fail as it gets closer. Central OK anyways looks to be not in much of an action spot. Hoping the model runs tonight bring it a little further south and we get some colder air in here quicker.

Looks like south MO (even N AR) could be money spot. And Iowa of course.

 

[Kevin Crawmer]

Winter Weather Advisories now being issued...I feel a little better about my forecasting abilities now. Let's see which verifies. This storm seemed to have more model consistencies than some of the past storms, but again keeps the trend of inching south with each successive run.

 

[MatthewCarman]

It started snowing in central Iowa Friday (February 5) but we did not get as much as fore casted which was 5 inches. It started snowing again today (Sunday) and has been doing so all day with 1" possible. Tonight into Monday another snow storm will hit. NWS is thinking 8-10" for north east Iowa with strong winds of 25-35 MPH and colder temps to follow on Tuesday. This has been an amazing winter.

Edit: I can't stand missing a day from college and have yet to miss one but travel conditions has been hazardous at times. I wish this winter would end already.

 

[mark plate]

This storm is looking more fail as it gets closer. Central OK anyways looks to be not in much of an action spot. Hoping the model runs tonight bring it a little further south and we get some colder air in here quicker.

Looks like south MO (even N AR) could be money spot. And Iowa of course.

GEM/ECMWF still offer plenty of hope for central OK, and they typically perform better than the NAM/GFS. OKC may still be a little too far south for the heaviest snow, but not by much.

 

[Chris Heater]

ILX just edged our snowfall totals up from 5 to 7" to 6 to 8". I'll assume this is because the models have been slowly edging the storm south? We're ready! (for once)

 

[Chris Wilburn]

According to the model runs today (the 00z NAM included) it looks like most of eastern OK will miss out on the brunt of the storm. The colder air from the cold front in KS will not be here until sometime late Monday into Monday evening. Surface temps. shouldn't drop below freezing until this time. Also, at this time the storm system is starting to make it's exit from the region not allowing much in the way of any accumulations. If the models are correct I would expect 2-3 inches at the most for extreme NE OK. If the cold air sinks south a bit quicker that can change.

It does appear that central AR will be below freezing at the surface earlier and longer enough for significant accumulations here. The models have been consistent in showing 8-12 inches in places for this region (mainly along and just south of I-40 for the last several runs now. Of course these winter systems are so delicate and we could see some changes between now and tomorrow.

 

[mark plate]

According to the model runs today (the 00z NAM included) it looks like most of eastern OK will miss out on the brunt of the storm. The colder air from the cold front in KS will not be here until sometime late Monday into Monday evening. Surface temps. shouldn't drop below freezing until this time. Also, at this time the storm system is starting to make it's exit from the region not allowing much in the way of any accumulations. If the models are correct I would expect 2-3 inches at the most for extreme NE OK. If the cold air sinks south a bit quicker that can change.

It does appear that central AR will be below freezing at the surface earlier and longer enough for significant accumulations here. The models have been consistent in showing 8-12 inches in places for this region (mainly along and just south of I-40 for the last several runs now. Of course these winter systems are so delicate and we could see some changes between now and tomorrow.

12Z ECMWF/GEM/UKMET all still have healthy snows across parts of eastern OK. 18Z GFS is a bit further north and lighter. 00Z/18Z NAM is the outlier...as it usually is.

 

[John Farley]

Got a few pics after the snow came through Santa Fe, NM on its way to the Panhandles. The snow clung to the trees very nicely. This first picture was taken during the 2-minute warning of the first half of the Super Bowl, as the setting sun illuminated the anvil of the convective snow band just after the snow ended:

I got the next two after dark, as the snow continued to cling very nicely to the trees and wires:

We only got about an inch and a half or a little more here, although I suspect we could eventually get at least a little more snow late tonight or tomorow as the wraparound comes into play.

 

[Jimmy Pate]

Here in central Arkansas I've got at least half an inch on the ground in my front yard, probably more. Already seen more in the last half hour here at my house then I did total for the 1/28/10 "event". The forecast discussion from LZK said to expect mostly a dusting up to an inch in central AR, but they weren't calling for it to start accumulating until Monday night. I think there's going to be a lot of surprised Arkansans in the Little Rock metro area Monday morning.

 

[Andrew Francis]

Yea AR is going to come out the winners with this one. Most of OK is stuck in the warm nose with dewpoints in the upper 30s. This sucks lol.

I guess here in OK we have had our share of fun this season so I suppose I can live with this bust.

 

[Brian Emfinger]

We were forecast to get around a half inch overnight. We have 6 inches as of 30 minutes ago!

 

[Michael Boyd]

OKC Snow

Snowing very heavy on the northwestern sides of the Oklahoma City Metro area - big flakes have been coming down for about the past 45 - 60 minutes. Roads ares starting to become snow covered with at least a 1/2 inch of snow on the ground now.

 

[Andrew Francis]

Heavy snowflakes in Edmond. Roads are covered and grass.

I would say almost 2 inches. Looks like this system is moving very fast now.