2/24-2/25 Winter Storm for the Plains

[RMacDonald]

Just pushing out and looking at 06Z SmartModel output. Seeing some good potential for some pretty good snowfalls. Kansas City, Topeka looking at 8-10" over the next 24 hours. The heaviest snowfall period is looking from 20Z on the 24th to 02Z. Looking at 1.2" snowfall rates in that area. Thoughts.

 

[Chris Carter]

Heaviest snow band has setup from just north of Lincoln to south of Omaha, in Bellevue right now, the snow is coming down at a moderate clip and the band just seems to be sitting on top of us with movement to east which really does nothing to the snowfall rates right now. We aren't in the WWA but i wonder if this heavy band sits on top of us long enough we might get bumped into that criteria.

 

[Robert Dewey]

RE: Nebraska; HRRR has areas SE of an Omaha - Lincoln line picking up an additional 3 inches or so.

I'm not too excited about the MI aspect. HRRR *barely* brings the snow north of Detroit. Of course, it only goes out to 8z as of right now... but it looks like the comma head may even pass further south than anticipated. 21z RUC shows snow developing around 9z, ending around 15z... so we're only talking about 5-6 hours of meager snowfall rates at best. Looks like a 3-5 incher around these parts to me. Maybe a few isolated 6 inch amounts closer to the OH/IN border.

 

[RMacDonald]

Latest 00Z SmartModel output showing the snowfall potentials starting to shift to the IL-IN areas now. Some snowfall potential are: Quincy: 8.4", Decatur 8.9", Danville: 9.2", and Lafayette:6.4". A bit further east looking at Erie and Cleveland with the highest potential of around 12" in the next 24 hours. Showing a few hours of 1.5" or 1.6" snowfall rates for the heaviest areas. I have uploaded the complete list for other cities in the areas.