• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

2/13/2007 FCST: TX / LA / MS / AL / FL

Joined
Feb 3, 2007
Messages
286
Location
Jacksonville, Florida
It appears the southern tropical jet will go from weak to quite active starting this weekend. A series of storms in the Pacific are moving in and models are indicating severs wx from about I-35 south of the Red River to around Austin, straight across to the Atlantic. This includes Houston, all of Louisiana, and pretty much all areas south of I-20, but north of a Tampa to Melbourne line by Tuesday. I'm thinking a good squall line, with isolated supercells from about Mobile and east to Jacksonville. It's still too early to really make a good judgement, by all signs here in NE Florida are pointing to the very least, strong storms with gusty winds. That's what they said for the 2nd, we'll see.

SPC
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/
 
I've been watching the severe threat across East Texas on the 12th for a few days now, trying not to get excited early. My greatest concerns are 1) the cold front surging south faster than models currently indicate, 2) cloud cover - low level clouds not mixing out due to cirrus deck, 3) scattered morning to midday showers associated with strong 850 jet limiting instability.

Asside from those issues, the overall setup looks good for severe storms. The shear and instability forecast by the GFS support supercells. But the three main uncertainties basically leave the door open for the storm mode. I don't know if it's a good thing or a curse that the latest GFS (12z Friday) keeps the front north of the red river. It indicates a dryline will initiate convection across South Central Texas, opening the door for supercells over Southeast & East Texas. We are still 3 days out...so that will change!
 
Conditions are beginning to change here along the Alabama/Mississippi line. Dewpoint has started to clime sharply in the last few hours. We are up to 47 degrees from a consistent 35/37 most of the afternoon and evening.
 
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