Jesse Risley
Staff member
A developing winter weather system will move out of Eastern Kansas this morning and push its way ENE, reaching the Great Lakes region by tomorrow. The low will likely follow the I-70 corridor, with a slightly more northeastern track overnight. Given thermal profiles with possible warm air advection in parts of IA and IL, suggest widespread snow amounts of 1â€-4†will occur to the WNW of the low pressure system, with enhanced lake effect snows likely as the system intensifies. While moisture is not impressive with this system, accumulations of 6+†are likely in parts of NE Indiana and SE lower Michigan. Arctic air will filter in behind the system from the NW, making for a rather chilly start to the New Year.
The NAM-WRF and GFS both verify this track, although the latest WRF wants to take the low on a more southerly track. Any deviation from the current forecast track will certainly make a difference in snowfall totals, especially for the Great Lakes region.
The NAM-WRF and GFS both verify this track, although the latest WRF wants to take the low on a more southerly track. Any deviation from the current forecast track will certainly make a difference in snowfall totals, especially for the Great Lakes region.