Brett Adair
EF5
Severe Weather??
GFS
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg458.imageshack.us%2Fimg458%2F5721%2F500mb6dv.th.gif&hash=8f41bbfa84807f040647aabe3f06ceca)
ECMWF
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg458.imageshack.us%2Fimg458%2F4112%2F500mbeuro6ym.th.gif&hash=683c9e23b7cf4be24c9bf29f22669fd8)
Pretty interesting senario for my neck of the woods....negatively titled mid level trough looks to punch into the Mid MS Valley region and allow for upper level divergence/large scale ascent to spread across the TN/OH Valley regions by mid day Sunday. HP off of the SE coast coupled with a deepening low pressure system will drag in tropical moisture from the Gulf along with temperatures nearing 80° near the coast coupled with TD's ranging from 65-70°. This should yeild for SBCAPE values near 2500j/kg. If this pattern pans with a backed low level flow, some supercellular activity could prevail. This could be the first outbreak of our "Secondary Tornado Season".
GFS
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg458.imageshack.us%2Fimg458%2F5721%2F500mb6dv.th.gif&hash=8f41bbfa84807f040647aabe3f06ceca)
ECMWF
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg458.imageshack.us%2Fimg458%2F4112%2F500mbeuro6ym.th.gif&hash=683c9e23b7cf4be24c9bf29f22669fd8)
Pretty interesting senario for my neck of the woods....negatively titled mid level trough looks to punch into the Mid MS Valley region and allow for upper level divergence/large scale ascent to spread across the TN/OH Valley regions by mid day Sunday. HP off of the SE coast coupled with a deepening low pressure system will drag in tropical moisture from the Gulf along with temperatures nearing 80° near the coast coupled with TD's ranging from 65-70°. This should yeild for SBCAPE values near 2500j/kg. If this pattern pans with a backed low level flow, some supercellular activity could prevail. This could be the first outbreak of our "Secondary Tornado Season".