Tony Laubach
EF5
SPC has areas in West Kansas and Eastern Colorado in a slight risk today with a 2% of tornadoes. Nothing spectacular by any means, but enough to warrent me to start a FCST thread.
Mention of a brief window for weak tornadoes in the area of upslope from about Pueblo northward to the CO/WY border, then heading east into West and Central Kansas.
The main threat in the area will likely be the heavy rain as a front passes through giving way to the post-frontal upslope. Winds aloft are weak, hence the low risk for severe, however, those same weak winds will enhance heavy rain threat as storms won't move much once they form. Denver HWO/AFD states that as much as 3 inches of rain an hour could possibly fall in areas. Even mention of a possible repeat of the Fort Collins Flood of 1997 has been made in the discussion. Where, who knows at this point, but this could lead to a significant flash flood event in a certian area if things pan out right.
Mention of a brief window for weak tornadoes in the area of upslope from about Pueblo northward to the CO/WY border, then heading east into West and Central Kansas.
The main threat in the area will likely be the heavy rain as a front passes through giving way to the post-frontal upslope. Winds aloft are weak, hence the low risk for severe, however, those same weak winds will enhance heavy rain threat as storms won't move much once they form. Denver HWO/AFD states that as much as 3 inches of rain an hour could possibly fall in areas. Even mention of a possible repeat of the Fort Collins Flood of 1997 has been made in the discussion. Where, who knows at this point, but this could lead to a significant flash flood event in a certian area if things pan out right.
