05/05/09 FCST: OK/TX

[Darrin Rasberry]

Warm front keeps marching north. Satellite imagery shows an area of focus and possible convergence around the Benjamin area, which got "it" last time a chase was on in that place. Will likely do its pop here, so if I were waiting in my adjusted target of Abilene, I'd want to drift northward by about fifty miles by now for sure. EDIT: and a bit east too, perhaps back to my original target of Graham, perhaps to Throcky. That 10+-degree 700mb nose is starting to butt in, and that area looks to be a nice cooler 5-10degree 700mb pocket. Bigger potential for the cap to break as the front continues to provide a source of lift for that area.

 

[Ken Johnson]

It looks like the WF is south of Wichita Falls, but just north of Seymour. It looks like based on radar looping images that outflow bndry is located north of WF near Wichita Falls. It will be interesting to see how the two interact with each other. Best instability is south of this are, but could surge northward by 00z. Cap is stout and it looks like convergence along these boundaries may be the best play...Just some thoughts..