Well it's about time for some action in the Atlantic Basin! I've been looking for relief from the Texas heat in a tropical system. I am new to hurricane weather and an trying to stud up more from it as a high school student , but what can people in Texas expect from tropical storm Ernesto if any impacts at all? Does anyone think that anymore storms could form and impact Texas?
Tropical Storm Ernesto
- Thread starter DNewman
- Start date
Mark Ellinwood
EF2
Too early to tell...
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
As with these storms, it is too early still to determine a possible track / strike more than 5 days out.
Just for kicks, I started browsing through the $500 to $600 RT airline tickets to Cancun (just in case) for early next week ;-)
As with these storms, it is too early still to determine a possible track / strike more than 5 days out.
Just for kicks, I started browsing through the $500 to $600 RT airline tickets to Cancun (just in case) for early next week ;-)
STexan
EF4
If this high pressure dome remains in place over Texas as it has been the last long time, aint no hurricanes coming to Texas.
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
As of Monday (11 AM) the storm has slowed down and "healed" from the shear the past few days. Now it appears to be coming in Wednesday (Aug 8) as a strong hurricane after all.
I'm wondering if Josh M will be chasing this one?
I pondered on going to Mexico but this storm may make landfall much farther south, say, Belize.
As of Monday (11 AM) the storm has slowed down and "healed" from the shear the past few days. Now it appears to be coming in Wednesday (Aug 8) as a strong hurricane after all.
I'm wondering if Josh M will be chasing this one?
I pondered on going to Mexico but this storm may make landfall much farther south, say, Belize.
Mark Ellinwood
EF2
I hope you live to be 100, because that's how long it might take (if not longer) for the technology to make a very precise track forecast. The technology, formulas and data just aren't there.
You may have seen this by now on American, but this morning he confirmed he is traveling to the Yucatan: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/35947-chasing-ernesto/
cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Yes I see he pulled the trigger and went. I chose not to cuz of the landfall at night and not along the best place in the coast for a hurricane chase.
I hope Josh M has a lot of big spotlights from Hollywood with him ;-)
On a better note, the storm looks like it will be at least a high-end category 1 (or 2) hurricane when it makes landfall tonight (8-7 to 8-8) near and north of Costa Maya (Mexico).
Pressure already down to 984 MB as of 1 PM according to recon.
Yes I see he pulled the trigger and went. I chose not to cuz of the landfall at night and not along the best place in the coast for a hurricane chase.
I hope Josh M has a lot of big spotlights from Hollywood with him ;-)
On a better note, the storm looks like it will be at least a high-end category 1 (or 2) hurricane when it makes landfall tonight (8-7 to 8-8) near and north of Costa Maya (Mexico).
Pressure already down to 984 MB as of 1 PM according to recon.
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cdcollura
EF5
Good day all,
Hurricane Ernesto came ashore in Mexico near Costa Maya and across and north of Buena Vista at about 12:30 AM on Aug 8, 2012. The storm core had a central pressure of about 975 MB (Josh M recorded that in Buena Vista, about 35 miles inland).
The storm when just inland had the best satellite presentation of its lifetime, with a small "pinhole" eye and such. Eye diameter was a mere 5 miles, or less. Had this structure occurred just 12 to 24 hours earlier, and over water east of the Yucatan, you probably would have had a cat-4 storm (like Charley in 2004)!
The storm is still inland, skirting the southern edge of the Bay of Campeche as of the afternoon of 8/8, but is weakening and probably will not do much unless it gets back out over water.
Hurricane Ernesto came ashore in Mexico near Costa Maya and across and north of Buena Vista at about 12:30 AM on Aug 8, 2012. The storm core had a central pressure of about 975 MB (Josh M recorded that in Buena Vista, about 35 miles inland).
The storm when just inland had the best satellite presentation of its lifetime, with a small "pinhole" eye and such. Eye diameter was a mere 5 miles, or less. Had this structure occurred just 12 to 24 hours earlier, and over water east of the Yucatan, you probably would have had a cat-4 storm (like Charley in 2004)!
The storm is still inland, skirting the southern edge of the Bay of Campeche as of the afternoon of 8/8, but is weakening and probably will not do much unless it gets back out over water.
Josh Morgerman
EF4
Hi, guys! Yep—I did chase the cyclone. Chris, thanks for reporting on it here! 
It wasn't a major, but Ernesto was pretty awesome—a classic, deep-tropical microcane (as I like to call them). The core was extremely small and I did not start to feel strong winds until it was maybe 30 minutes away—and then things went a little nutty. As Chris said, I recorded 975.0 mb as the center passed probably about a mile or two to my S (I never had a lull).
Here is my video. Hey, it's not beautiful camerawork—the darkness and chaos made it almost impossible to setup a clean shot—but it captures the experience of riding out a direct hit from a small, strengthening hurricane in a roadside restaurant deep in the tropics.
The video starts quietly and it builds as the hurricane approaches. The roaring climax happens just after 12:30 am (note the timestamp), when Ernesto's center passes just a mile or two to the south and we're in the punishing inner north eyewall. Not surprisingly, this is also the time of the lowest pressure. (Radar imagery confirms that the center was closest at that time.)
You'll notice in the video that the cyclone doesn't last long—the whole thing comes and goes in less than an hour. It's a swift, hard kick!
On my site you can also find the barogram showing the pressure dip as the center passed nearby. I'll post a complete chase account there within the next day or two. In the meantime, enjoy the video!
Watch video >
It wasn't a major, but Ernesto was pretty awesome—a classic, deep-tropical microcane (as I like to call them). The core was extremely small and I did not start to feel strong winds until it was maybe 30 minutes away—and then things went a little nutty. As Chris said, I recorded 975.0 mb as the center passed probably about a mile or two to my S (I never had a lull).
Here is my video. Hey, it's not beautiful camerawork—the darkness and chaos made it almost impossible to setup a clean shot—but it captures the experience of riding out a direct hit from a small, strengthening hurricane in a roadside restaurant deep in the tropics.
The video starts quietly and it builds as the hurricane approaches. The roaring climax happens just after 12:30 am (note the timestamp), when Ernesto's center passes just a mile or two to the south and we're in the punishing inner north eyewall. Not surprisingly, this is also the time of the lowest pressure. (Radar imagery confirms that the center was closest at that time.)
You'll notice in the video that the cyclone doesn't last long—the whole thing comes and goes in less than an hour. It's a swift, hard kick!
On my site you can also find the barogram showing the pressure dip as the center passed nearby. I'll post a complete chase account there within the next day or two. In the meantime, enjoy the video!
Watch video >
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