Tropical Hybrid

[Robert Dewey]

I was just looking at the GFS, and between the hours of 144 to 180 (on the 06Z run), it develops a pretty strong tropical / sub-tropical hybrid storm just off the northeast coast. That would be pretty intersesting to watch - but at 180 hours away, and little accuracy - I have my doubts. :x

 

[HAltschule]

Actually, if you track the storm back a few days you will see that it is really TD #24 (soon to be Wilma). This soon to be hurricane is forecast by the GFS to slam Fort Myers/Tampa/West coast of Florida as a major hurricane (can you say Frances??). Anyway, this is the storm that moves up the east coast and merges with a weaker disturbance off of the Northeast shoreline. This is the monster storm that you are seeing. Likely to be a huge extra-tropical low by that time.

 

[Robert Dewey]

Originally posted by HAltschule
Actually, if you track the storm back a few days you will see that it is really TD #24 (soon to be Wilma). This soon to be hurricane is forecast by the GFS to slam Fort Myers/Tampa/West coast of Florida as a major hurricane (can you say Frances??). Anyway, this is the storm that moves up the east coast and merges with a weaker disturbance off of the Northeast shoreline. This is the monster storm that you are seeing. Likely to be a huge extra-tropical low by that time.

I noticed... I headed over to the NHC website after posting - I haven't been keeping up to date lately on the tropics

What would be REAL interesting is that if the shortwave pulled down some of that cold air from Canada. Then once the storms merge, we end up with a rather significant early season Nor'easter. It's a long shot, and you would really need 850MB temperatures AOB -6C this time of year, but I will definitely be watching this.