INVEST 94L NW Caribbean RECON Possible TOMORROW

[J Kinkaid]

000
WHXX01 KWBC 150015
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0015 UTC FRI JUN 15 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942007) 20070615 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070615 0000 070615 1200 070616 0000 070616 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.8N 86.4W 19.8N 87.0W 20.8N 87.6W 21.9N 88.7W
BAMD 18.8N 86.4W 19.7N 86.1W 20.3N 86.5W 20.9N 87.3W
BAMM 18.8N 86.4W 19.6N 86.6W 20.3N 87.1W 21.1N 88.0W
LBAR 18.8N 86.4W 19.4N 86.4W 20.5N 86.5W 22.3N 86.6W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 30KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 30KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070617 0000 070618 0000 070619 0000 070620 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 22.9N 89.6W 25.4N 91.9W 28.8N 92.6W 30.8N 91.0W
BAMD 21.5N 88.1W 22.9N 89.5W 25.1N 89.6W 28.0N 85.6W
BAMM 21.9N 88.9W 23.9N 90.4W 27.0N 90.3W 29.6N 87.2W
LBAR 24.4N 86.5W 28.3N 84.6W 30.8N 79.5W 31.7N 73.4W
SHIP 33KTS 33KTS 27KTS 22KTS
DSHP 33KTS 33KTS 28KTS 23KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.8N LONCUR = 86.4W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 17.5N LONM12 = 86.8W DIRM12 = 5DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 16.5N LONM24 = 86.7W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

 

[J Kinkaid]

Nous42 Knhc 151400
Weather Reconnaissance Flights
Carcah, National Hurricane Center, Miami, Fl.
1000 Am Edt Fri 15 Jun 2007
Subject: Tropical Cyclone Plan Of The Day (tcpod)
Valid 16/1100z To 17/1100z June 2007
Tcpod Number.....07-023

I. Atlantic Requirements
1. Negative Reconnaissance Requirements.
2. Outlook For Succeeding Day.....negative.
3. Remarks: Invest For 15/1800z In Gulf Of Mexico
Canceled By Nhc At 15/1235z.

Ii. Pacific Requirements
1. Negative Reconnaissance Requirements.
2. Succeeding Day Outlook.....negative.

 

[cdcollura]

Not looking like much ATTM ... Looks like a linear (sheared) MCS right now.